censuswall CHN × JPN · 2026 · side by side
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Compare · UN World Population Prospects 2024

China and Japan, side by side

China in 2026: half the people are older than 42. Japan: half are older than 51.

UN estimates for mid-2023: China 1,422,584,932 people · Japan 124,370,946

China 1.41 billion people Half are older than 42 15 in 100 are 65 or older
Japan 122 million people Half are older than 51 30 in 100 are 65 or older

How to read this: each pyramid stacks a place’s people by age — babies at the bottom, the oldest at the top, men on the left and women on the right. A wide bottom means many children; a wide top means many older people.

Each bar is a share of its own place’s people, so a small country and a large one can be read side by side.

estimatesprojections

men women projected

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries

CHN × JPN · 2026 · age groups

If each place were 100 people

Shrink each population to 100 people and count them. Dots are children under 15, filled squares are people aged 15 to 64, and open squares are people 65 and over. The picture follows the year slider above.

China
Children, under 15
15
Aged 15 to 64
70
Aged 65 and over
15
Japan
Children, under 15
11
Aged 15 to 64
59
Aged 65 and over
30

CHN × JPN · families and lifetimes

Children, and how long lives last

At today's rates, a woman in China would have about 1.0 children in her lifetime. In Japan, about 1.2. Babies born this year can expect about 79 years of life in China and about 85 in Japan.

Children per woman, 2026

Each figure is one child: how many children a woman would have in her lifetime at that year’s rates.

China 1.0
Japan 1.2

The dashed line at 2.1 is about what it takes for each generation to replace the one before it, leaving migration aside.

How long a newborn can expect to live, 2026

Each block is ten years of life, if the death rates of that year stayed the same all life long.

China 79 years
Japan 85 years

Hatched marks are UN projections (medium variant), not measurements.

CHN × JPN · 1950–2100 · how many

How big, and where they are heading

China has about 12 times as many people as Japan: 1.41 billion against 122 million.

Set each against its own 1950 self and China's population is 2.6 times what it was in 1950, Japan's population is 1.4 times what it was in 1950.

China's population peaked in 2021; Japan's population peaked in 2009. In 2100: 633 million in China, 76.8 million in Japan (UN projection, medium).

Show the numbers
YearChina: peopleJapan: peopleChina: half older thanJapan: half older thanChina: children per womanJapan: children per womanChina: life expectancyJapan: life expectancy
1950544.044 million86.4433 million23.322.35.813.6243.859.3
1960654.802 million96.3997 million20.925.74.451.9833.467.7
1970823.309 million106.712 million19.029.36.082.0456.872.0
1980983.164 million118.359 million21.932.72.741.7464.276.1
19901.15358 billion123.400 million24.737.92.511.5168.279.0
20001.26958 billion127.028 million30.041.81.631.3572.381.2
20101.35156 billion128.185 million35.145.21.691.3675.782.9
20231.42258 billion124.371 million40.150.01.001.2178.084.7
2030*1.39815 billion119.584 million43.952.51.061.2679.885.7
2040*1.34282 billion112.158 million49.654.11.131.3181.787.1
2050*1.26029 billion105.123 million53.153.81.181.3583.488.4
2060*1.13513 billion98.1032 million55.754.11.231.3984.989.7
2070*998.784 million90.6118 million58.754.61.271.4286.390.9
2080*870.252 million84.7300 million62.453.71.291.4487.592.1
2090*744.903 million80.6344 million62.453.41.321.4688.793.2
2100*633.368 million76.8460 million61.754.01.341.4789.894.4

* UN projection, medium variant. People at mid-year; ages and life expectancy in years.

CHN − JPN · 1950–2100 · every age

Which ages each place has more of

Each column is a year and each row an age, from babies at the bottom to 100 at the top. The shade of a cell shows which place has more of its people at that age — the key beside the picture tells you which shade is China and which is Japan, and the in-between shade means the same. Because it compares shares, a small place and a large one can be compared fairly.

236 countries · 1950–2100

Where they sit among all countries

Every country in the world, every year from 1950 to 2100. The grey cloud shows where most countries are; China is drawn in solid blue squares and Japan in open orange squares, so you can see whether each is ahead of the crowd, behind it or in the middle.

Apparatus

Sources and method

Every figure for China and Japan is the United Nations Population Division's, from World Population Prospects 2024: counted to 2023, and the medium projection for each year after that. Both places are taken from the same release and the same tables, which is what makes them comparable at all.

The working behind the median age, the rounding in the “100 people” pictures and the reason the regions are kept out of the all-country views are all set out in the method.

This is one of 250 pairs with a page. The boxes at the top will take any other two places you want to see side by side.

Sources: UN WPP 2024 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries