censuswall AGG · 2026 · ages 0–100
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UN country group · UN WPP 2024

Middle-income countries population

Middle-income countries population now

6,213,673,966

A projection read at this second, not a count: the UN's totals for 1 January 2026 and 2027, joined by a straight line.

Mid-2023, UN estimate: 6,064,768,028

Year
2026
projection · medium
Population, mid-2026
6.20260 billion
Median age
32.0
Aged 65+
9.5%
2023 | 2024 peak 2067

male female projection · one cell = 1,000,000 people

How to read this: one row for each age, newborns at the bottom; men on the left, women on the right.

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries

AGG · 1950–2100 · in brief

Middle-income countries in numbers

6,064,768,028 people lived in Middle-income countries in mid-2023: 75.0% of the world's people. That is 3.6 times its 1950 population of 1.68 billion.

The UN's medium projection has it peaking in 2067 at 7.16 billion, then falling to 6.75 billion by 2100.

The medium projection has deaths passing births in 2069 and staying above them from then on.

The median age was 21.6 in 1950 and 31.1 in 2023; the projection has 45.0 in 2100. 8.8% of people were 65 or older in 2023, against 25.8% projected for 2100. The working-age population (15–64) is projected to peak in 2049 at 4.51 billion.

Population, mid-2023
6,064,768,028
Share of the world, 2023
75.0%
Change in a year, mid-2022 to mid-2023
+0.73% · +43,796,672 people
Births, 2023
94,859,342
Deaths, 2023
44,576,950
Net migration, 2023
−4,937,078
Children per woman, 2023
2.10
Median age, 2023
31.1 years
Life expectancy at birth, 2023
72.4 years
Population, mid-1950
1,682,184,464
Projected, mid-2050
7,023,213,906
Projected, mid-2100
6,746,443,214

AGG · 1950–2100 · total population

Population, 1950–2100

peak 2067estimates | projections02 bn4 bn6 bn8 bn1950197520002025205020752100

estimate   projection (medium). Each column is the population on 1 January of one year; the paper rules cut it into equal cells.

Show the numbers: Middle-income countries, 1950–2100
Middle-income countries: population on 1 January, births, deaths, fertility and life expectancy, 1950–2100
YearKindPopulation, 1 JanBirthsDeathsChildren per womanLife expectancy
1950estimate1,665,332,57869,849,83536,521,5705.5343.3
1951estimate1,699,036,35170,793,68036,514,9795.5043.9
1952estimate1,733,798,79475,525,05536,534,8845.7744.7
1953estimate1,773,202,86175,326,16436,448,8875.6545.3
1954estimate1,812,072,98177,927,57236,175,4505.7446.1
1955estimate1,854,116,86379,233,93936,100,9575.7446.7
1956estimate1,897,402,44978,976,90135,748,0625.6247.4
1957estimate1,940,879,20582,877,15335,917,8135.8047.9
1958estimate1,987,550,62081,199,80135,722,1695.5948.4
1959estimate2,033,106,39178,373,71839,999,8485.3045.6
1960estimate2,071,285,94678,575,01043,717,7055.2443.4
1961estimate2,105,856,94876,956,09039,055,5215.0646.4
1962estimate2,143,549,03688,016,57034,894,0505.7250.1
1963estimate2,196,141,06795,531,91735,600,1786.1450.8
1964estimate2,255,619,06392,825,10835,640,9105.8751.4
1965estimate2,311,049,16093,423,58436,760,0305.8251.0
1966estimate2,366,768,04093,275,45436,255,6885.7051.8
1967estimate2,422,784,14492,248,07036,036,9335.5252.3
1968estimate2,479,750,62997,293,18035,737,4675.7053.1
1969estimate2,539,972,70297,476,52135,759,6675.5753.6
1970estimate2,600,223,70899,120,22736,104,5585.5253.9
1971estimate2,662,052,39298,603,69237,271,1545.3253.5
1972estimate2,721,493,15598,661,81235,482,1815.1655.0
1973estimate2,783,175,52398,804,36435,206,0195.0155.6
1974estimate2,845,040,94197,804,94035,066,1764.7956.0
1975estimate2,906,644,86996,230,64635,133,1104.5656.3
1976estimate2,967,126,21696,430,02535,195,0604.4256.6
1977estimate3,027,641,88695,665,87634,717,8614.2557.2
1978estimate3,088,306,41096,849,36634,659,1844.1757.7
1979estimate3,149,057,32099,183,93234,295,5284.1458.4
1980estimate3,213,376,986101,270,23334,410,5354.0958.9
1981estimate3,280,829,570103,461,27534,525,3334.0559.3
1982estimate3,350,660,248106,817,41034,668,5934.0559.8
1983estimate3,422,300,894105,548,64134,638,0333.8860.3
1984estimate3,492,550,481107,772,09134,776,6913.8460.7
1985estimate3,564,694,079109,519,28934,891,7733.7861.1
1986estimate3,638,550,769112,256,71734,866,3463.7661.6
1987estimate3,714,971,565114,000,38635,060,3013.7162.0
1988estimate3,792,990,985113,187,54035,274,2223.5962.3
1989estimate3,869,639,274114,170,69835,406,9423.5262.6
1990estimate3,946,736,491114,939,60335,830,2253.4762.9
1991estimate4,025,460,509109,669,91635,918,6613.2363.0
1992estimate4,096,444,079107,779,27635,980,2753.1263.3
1993estimate4,164,288,109106,685,26436,386,1053.0463.4
1994estimate4,231,573,043106,033,20636,712,0542.9863.5
1995estimate4,298,089,938105,554,62636,720,1972.9263.9
1996estimate4,365,000,203104,756,44236,676,4512.8664.2
1997estimate4,430,921,367104,233,83136,703,8002.8164.6
1998estimate4,496,815,960103,921,67636,849,6822.7764.9
1999estimate4,562,322,174103,809,03737,207,1042.7365.1
2000estimate4,626,587,791105,061,30537,443,6682.7365.5
2001estimate4,692,544,145104,632,63337,650,6392.6865.8
2002estimate4,756,407,300104,479,65937,860,8472.6466.1
2003estimate4,818,362,120104,396,40338,096,7582.6166.4
2004estimate4,880,653,739104,869,04338,427,4342.5966.7
2005estimate4,943,432,790105,042,27238,447,0882.5667.1
2006estimate5,005,751,078105,666,37138,480,1682.5567.6
2007estimate5,068,461,858106,552,39738,550,7512.5468.0
2008estimate5,131,283,673107,874,34539,011,2162.5468.3
2009estimate5,195,656,324108,886,86538,940,9182.5468.8
2010estimate5,261,950,385109,012,17239,219,5162.5169.1
2011estimate5,328,255,441109,353,13139,232,1242.5069.5
2012estimate5,394,043,295111,193,03439,408,5372.5269.9
2013estimate5,462,787,106110,098,53639,672,5892.4970.2
2014estimate5,531,007,962109,991,81439,987,1722.4770.5
2015estimate5,597,978,782108,759,54340,321,6342.4470.8
2016estimate5,662,286,926108,967,66640,743,2912.4471.1
2017estimate5,726,014,548107,541,64341,207,2502.4071.3
2018estimate5,789,802,451104,113,15641,460,3542.3271.6
2019estimate5,849,160,922102,230,84541,938,4562.2871.9
2020estimate5,905,456,45998,326,74045,872,4652.1971.2
2021estimate5,956,493,70596,645,76951,585,8942.1569.9
2022estimate5,999,847,34495,462,58144,178,9042.1272.1
2023estimate6,042,095,36794,859,34244,576,9502.1072.4
2024estimate6,087,440,69094,720,26245,048,8062.1072.6
2025projection6,133,883,76294,417,88745,591,7052.0972.8
2026projection6,180,030,21994,233,12145,883,6332.0873.1
2027projection6,225,177,16094,026,96346,658,1462.0773.3
2028projection6,269,751,46093,901,58647,491,2422.0673.5
2029projection6,313,631,48793,864,32248,332,1282.0573.6
2030projection6,356,684,08593,868,56349,192,5362.0573.8
2031projection6,399,002,65593,875,54150,081,5972.0474.0
2032projection6,440,475,52293,892,98450,989,8902.0374.1
2033projection6,481,151,74093,938,64051,930,0152.0274.3
2034projection6,520,951,54294,013,21252,869,4502.0174.5
2035projection6,559,895,02694,079,41953,843,1872.0074.6
2036projection6,597,946,74094,118,90554,815,1972.0074.8
2037projection6,635,144,80894,114,01355,810,8581.9974.9
2038projection6,671,281,37694,086,17956,788,6611.9975.1
2039projection6,706,519,43194,015,12657,777,3401.9975.2
2040projection6,740,635,29893,933,93658,755,2421.9875.4
2041projection6,773,685,05193,719,03659,745,0511.9875.5
2042projection6,805,605,73193,474,52860,716,7061.9875.7
2043projection6,836,358,69593,220,42661,686,5581.9875.8
2044projection6,865,862,16892,871,67362,648,9671.9976.0
2045projection6,894,153,94892,411,02463,607,0661.9976.1
2046projection6,921,052,41191,937,29064,548,4541.9976.3
2047projection6,946,497,83391,339,41665,480,4931.9976.4
2048projection6,970,446,85890,699,01266,399,2491.9876.5
2049projection6,992,813,98790,026,25967,310,4081.9876.7
2050projection7,013,560,10489,352,92668,211,0781.9876.8
2051projection7,032,867,70888,656,56469,101,2771.9876.9
2052projection7,050,534,34687,964,82369,986,0551.9777.0
2053projection7,066,576,24387,310,92570,858,8451.9777.1
2054projection7,081,133,41386,631,77571,727,3551.9677.3
2055projection7,094,154,49486,070,98772,569,0391.9677.4
2056projection7,105,819,59185,556,14473,381,3651.9577.5
2057projection7,116,112,40985,063,48374,178,0911.9577.6
2058projection7,125,215,12084,614,80574,954,6471.9477.7
2059projection7,133,078,74984,232,26875,717,6121.9477.8
2060projection7,139,703,10083,885,08376,449,3121.9378.0
2061projection7,145,350,03883,551,96577,126,4421.9378.1
2062projection7,149,963,82183,297,94077,780,4061.9278.2
2063projection7,153,701,26183,046,74678,398,5601.9278.3
2064projection7,156,563,35982,833,53879,015,7031.9178.4
2065projection7,158,555,31182,603,17679,612,2481.9178.5
2066projection7,159,697,60382,369,88480,172,4441.9078.7
2067projection7,160,179,45182,131,75380,736,1911.9078.8
2068projection7,159,747,68981,876,45881,280,4731.9078.9
2069projection7,158,551,94881,576,76081,812,6311.8979.0
2070projection7,156,536,72481,299,33382,338,0701.8979.1
2071projection7,153,662,73581,008,63682,858,6541.8979.2
2072projection7,150,044,01280,666,40283,394,1051.8879.3
2073projection7,145,538,96680,313,15583,899,6271.8879.4
2074projection7,140,167,97279,928,32884,398,7451.8879.5
2075projection7,133,958,82179,524,88784,892,8781.8779.6
2076projection7,126,847,18079,112,20385,368,4671.8779.7
2077projection7,118,867,16078,671,80885,816,6651.8779.8
2078projection7,109,930,78678,186,03286,242,2361.8779.9
2079projection7,100,147,17577,695,60386,617,8791.8680.0
2080projection7,089,452,59777,213,47286,959,5681.8680.1
2081projection7,078,013,57776,692,48187,229,1791.8680.2
2082projection7,065,796,26976,220,25887,452,3431.8680.3
2083projection7,052,866,73975,705,54087,638,2311.8680.4
2084projection7,039,245,30775,214,84987,774,9801.8580.5
2085projection7,024,941,24874,713,63887,877,5951.8580.6
2086projection7,010,101,03774,231,70687,927,2811.8580.7
2087projection6,994,800,33973,766,46287,961,9151.8480.8
2088projection6,978,956,24873,309,34687,972,9441.8480.9
2089projection6,962,703,27272,885,67887,994,6131.8481.0
2090projection6,945,992,48472,459,93487,988,2611.8481.0
2091projection6,928,808,09272,050,45587,980,1121.8381.1
2092projection6,911,359,87471,651,94287,990,5841.8381.2
2093projection6,893,457,68871,252,05688,016,8891.8381.3
2094projection6,875,103,47870,871,63988,041,0891.8281.4
2095projection6,856,398,65370,496,16688,089,7111.8281.5
2096projection6,837,290,68570,150,80988,109,6351.8281.6
2097projection6,817,738,90869,822,67988,159,6331.8181.7
2098projection6,797,805,64969,470,90888,186,3941.8181.8
2099projection6,777,523,83669,135,07888,196,3491.8181.9
2100projection6,756,906,09768,771,17088,191,2891.8082.0

AGG · membership

What Middle-income countries is

Middle-income countries is one of the UN's analytical groupings. This dataset carries the group's totals, not its membership, so its countries are not listed here.

Show the numbers: Middle-income countries, mid-2026, by single year of age
Middle-income countries: population by single year of age, mid-2026
AgeMaleFemale
047,364,80044,956,100
147,175,50044,761,600
247,142,60044,678,100
347,211,70044,694,300
447,582,10045,014,900
548,249,00045,582,800
649,656,40046,742,500
751,067,90047,950,400
852,284,40049,047,900
953,411,80050,006,600
1053,599,90050,098,700
1153,763,30050,176,800
1254,075,80050,393,700
1354,422,20050,629,600
1454,172,00050,325,200
1553,404,40049,579,400
1653,094,00049,273,300
1752,593,50048,835,300
1851,733,10048,095,500
1950,857,30047,361,000
2050,141,30046,771,600
2149,584,40046,328,200
2249,048,00045,923,900
2348,593,10045,598,400
2448,300,90045,391,400
2548,206,60045,330,900
2647,717,00044,929,900
2747,058,20044,401,500
2846,852,60044,272,600
2946,794,00044,273,300
3046,816,10044,347,100
3146,760,40044,359,400
3246,636,20044,330,100
3346,670,80044,456,300
3447,024,80044,853,600
3548,447,00046,229,200
3649,155,70046,989,000
3748,272,90046,274,000
3847,833,40045,977,300
3947,252,00045,589,300
4045,873,10044,442,600
4144,491,40043,238,500
4243,220,70042,091,100
4342,658,90041,600,300
4441,817,80040,834,300
4540,273,20039,416,300
4639,008,70038,289,200
4737,593,20037,029,400
4836,373,00035,969,900
4935,855,30035,599,200
5035,562,90035,465,500
5135,391,90035,432,900
5235,437,50035,612,200
5335,163,60035,483,600
5434,704,50035,158,700
5534,420,50034,989,600
5633,744,90034,446,100
5732,758,10033,669,200
5831,116,90032,202,300
5929,768,40030,995,200
6029,457,70030,865,500
6128,838,00030,420,100
6228,593,20030,371,300
6327,095,00029,009,200
6423,130,60025,090,400
6520,575,70022,637,600
6619,894,30022,138,300
6719,618,90022,046,600
6819,776,80022,426,700
6918,928,90021,753,300
7017,763,10020,739,300
7116,874,20020,025,000
7215,569,40018,794,300
7314,486,70017,807,300
7413,206,60016,542,800
7511,834,70015,106,700
7610,617,70013,774,400
779,189,48012,068,600
788,043,06010,702,600
797,077,1609,597,440
806,088,9708,414,530
815,224,9907,341,820
824,502,3906,467,680
833,913,4605,827,340
843,438,3705,364,450
852,965,0404,831,400
862,482,8404,222,830
872,066,4003,665,040
881,709,6303,161,380
891,362,2302,633,100
901,053,7102,136,490
91796,2211,691,920
92591,1881,314,100
93430,3761,012,530
94303,152753,550
95209,969549,789
96141,738394,650
9792,630274,313
9858,704182,792
9935,930116,952
100+50,112182,692

AGG · 1950–2100 · every age, every year

Middle-income countries, every age in every year

Each column is a year and each row an age; the denser the ink in a cell, the more people. Everyone born in the same year climbs one 45° diagonal, so famines, baby booms and migration show up as streaks. Select a cell to follow its generation.

AGG · ages 15–64

Who does the work in Middle-income countries

On the UN's projection, Middle-income countries will have the most working-age people it ever has in 2049: 4,510,420,000 people aged 15–64. In 2023 it had 4,014,940,000.

100 aged 15–64
38 children
13 aged 65+

aged 15–64   children under 15   aged 65 and over

How to read this: take 100 people of working age — the orange row — and the two rows under it are the children (teal) and the people of 65 and over (violet) who lived alongside them in 2023.

Fewer than 50 dependants live alongside every 100 people aged 15–64 in 10 years: 2026–2035.

fewer than 50 dependants per 100   the same, projected   50 or more

How to read this: one stripe a year from 1950 to 2100. A stripe takes colour in a year when fewer than 50 dependants live alongside every 100 people of working age, and stays grey otherwise; hatching means the year is projected.

How every country compares

AGG · arrivals minus departures

Who arrives in Middle-income countries, and who leaves

In 2020–2025 Middle-income countries loses 4,191,137 people a year: everyone who arrives, minus everyone who leaves. The age at which that happens most is 20–24, at 685,334 a year more leaving than arriving.

one square = 100,000 people a year
020406080+

more arrive than leave   more leave than arrive

How to read this: age runs left to right, babies to 100. A blue square above the line means arrivals outnumber departures at that age, an orange square below it means the opposite. The figures are the UN's projection for 2020–2025; nobody recorded migration by age before 2020.

Across the counted years, 1950 to 2023, its biggest single-year gain was 894,720 (1981); its biggest loss, 9,035,673 (2022).

This is a group of countries, so its figure counts only moves across its own outer edge: someone moving from one country inside it to another does not appear.

How migration works everywhere

AGG · births by the mother's age · 1950–2100

Who has the babies in Middle-income countries

Of every 100 babies born in middle-income countries in 2023, 9 had a mother under 20, 77 a mother aged 20 to 34 and 14 a mother aged 35 or older. In 1950 it was 13 under 20 and 18 aged 35 or older.

1950
13 · 69 · 18
2023
9 · 77 · 14
2050 · projected
6 · 76 · 18

The mother's age: under 20 20 to 34 35 or older projected

How to read this: one block a year, 100 squares in each, a square for every hundredth baby. The colour is the mother's age group, and the three numbers underneath are those groups in order, youngest first.

Babies born, 2023
94,859,342
Average age when women have a baby
28.0 years
29.1 in 1950
Babies a year per 1,000 girls aged 15–19
34
105 in 1950
Babies by the mother's age, 1950–2100
Babies born in middle-income countries by the mother's age
Mother's age19501975200020232050 projected2100 projected
10–14583,944915,323809,773204,017100,32824,805
15–198,555,65613,307,48715,029,9758,105,7125,403,6592,351,049
20–2418,651,25730,301,03034,135,20126,184,28319,272,26110,972,462
25–2917,206,40923,774,91629,179,82427,822,24026,234,67020,851,598
30–3412,185,73114,528,17115,979,92019,425,91322,743,66320,779,477
35–398,305,4978,891,7137,178,5019,672,93811,797,00410,646,365
40–443,803,0133,816,0452,315,3272,931,2093,346,9462,812,836
45–49539,070663,293409,766479,404428,829321,772
50–5419,25832,66823,01833,62625,56610,806
All babies69,849,83596,230,646105,061,30594,859,34289,352,92668,771,170

The UN's births for each year, split by the mother's age in the UN's own proportions.

Apparatus

Sources and method

Every figure on this page comes from the UN's World Population Prospects 2024: the annual tables for regions and groups (estimates to 2023, then the medium projection), and the population by single year of age and sex for the pyramid.

Sources: UN WPP 2024 · World Bank · UN WUP 2025 · Maddison Project 2020 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →

Checked before it was drawn

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries The pyramid for every year was checked against the published total. What that stamp counts, and what every page here has to pass before it can be built: how this site checks its figures.