UN country group · UN WPP 2024

Upper-middle-income countries population

Upper-middle-income countries population now

2,826,789,211

A projection read at this second, not a count: the UN's totals for 1 January 2026 and 2027, joined by a straight line.

Mid-2023, UN estimate: 2,811,308,946

Year: 2026; projection · medium
Population, mid-2026: 2.82560 billion
Median age: 38.0
Aged 65+: 13.0%

Move through time, 1950–2100

2023 | 2024 peak 2036

male female projection · one cell = 500,000 people

How to read this: one row for each age, newborns at the bottom; men on the left, women on the right.

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries

AGG · 1950–2100 · in brief

Upper-middle-income countries in numbers

In mid-2023 there were 2,811,308,946 people in Upper-middle-income countries, and 34.7% of the world's people. That is 2.9 times its 1950 population of 971 million.

The UN's medium projection has it peaking in 2036 at 2.85 billion, then falling to 2.03 billion by 2100.

Births stay ahead of deaths until 2036; in the medium projection, deaths are ahead every year after it.

The median age was 22.2 in 1950 and 36.5 in 2023; the projection has 52.0 in 2100. 12.1% of people were 65 or older in 2023, against 33.8% projected for 2100. The working-age population (15–64) is projected to peak in 2028 at 1.95 billion.

Population, mid-2023: 2,811,308,946
Share of the world, 2023: 34.7%
Change in a year, mid-2022 to mid-2023: +0.23% · +6,568,646 people
Births, 2023: 28,465,799
Deaths, 2023: 22,313,868
Net migration, 2023: −852,223
Children per woman, 2023: 1.48
Median age, 2023: 36.5 years
Life expectancy at birth, 2023: 75.9 years
Population, mid-1950: 971,459,724
Projected, mid-2050: 2,796,509,578
Projected, mid-2100: 2,026,150,941

AGG · 1950–2100 · total population

Population, 1950–2100

peak 2036estimates | projections0500 m1 bn1.5 bn2 bn2.5 bn3 bn1950197520002025205020752100

estimate projection (medium). Every column stands for a single year, counted on 1 January, and the paper rules slice it into cells of equal size.

Show the numbers: Upper-middle-income countries, 1950–2100

Upper-middle-income countries: population on 1 January, births, deaths, fertility and life expectancy, 1950–2100
Year	Kind	Population, 1 Jan	Births	Deaths	Children per woman	Life expectancy
1950	estimate	962,096,485	38,559,581	19,949,179	5.32	45.4
1951	estimate	980,822,964	38,840,982	19,826,536	5.26	46.1
1952	estimate	999,908,189	42,613,702	19,781,516	5.68	47.0
1953	estimate	1,022,744,929	41,647,310	19,573,875	5.46	47.6
1954	estimate	1,044,756,775	43,366,249	19,357,700	5.59	48.5
1955	estimate	1,068,747,978	43,987,590	19,275,231	5.58	49.1
1956	estimate	1,093,378,666	42,982,746	18,840,796	5.36	49.9
1957	estimate	1,117,465,912	46,029,953	18,904,328	5.66	50.4
1958	estimate	1,144,654,022	43,661,784	18,632,547	5.28	51.0
1959	estimate	1,169,547,315	40,100,978	22,881,343	4.77	45.7
1960	estimate	1,186,411,854	39,463,567	26,439,319	4.64	41.6
1961	estimate	1,199,156,232	37,287,477	21,652,014	4.33	46.6
1962	estimate	1,214,558,738	47,420,960	17,355,886	5.46	53.1
1963	estimate	1,244,395,366	54,210,637	17,912,610	6.18	53.8
1964	estimate	1,280,480,020	50,847,530	17,842,745	5.71	54.4
1965	estimate	1,312,068,804	50,903,973	18,231,960	5.65	54.3
1966	estimate	1,344,193,790	50,173,281	17,676,412	5.48	55.3
1967	estimate	1,376,329,932	48,488,231	17,273,274	5.19	56.1
1968	estimate	1,408,406,121	52,808,535	17,297,190	5.54	56.7
1969	estimate	1,443,614,099	52,303,533	17,228,485	5.34	57.3
1970	estimate	1,478,319,782	53,100,357	17,100,983	5.28	57.9
1971	estimate	1,513,558,268	51,598,612	16,715,472	4.96	58.6
1972	estimate	1,547,739,772	50,771,298	16,423,221	4.72	59.3
1973	estimate	1,581,352,050	50,005,240	16,102,292	4.49	60.0
1974	estimate	1,614,519,445	48,130,768	15,848,286	4.16	60.5
1975	estimate	1,646,114,671	45,838,894	15,599,523	3.82	61.0
1976	estimate	1,675,717,451	44,944,839	15,597,374	3.60	61.3
1977	estimate	1,704,712,433	43,440,996	15,143,084	3.36	62.1
1978	estimate	1,732,847,674	43,611,548	15,047,265	3.26	62.6
1979	estimate	1,761,125,292	44,736,283	15,065,065	3.25	63.1
1980	estimate	1,790,076,011	45,464,484	15,129,995	3.21	63.5
1981	estimate	1,820,087,227	46,497,065	15,144,110	3.19	64.0
1982	estimate	1,850,898,973	48,649,585	15,198,078	3.24	64.5
1983	estimate	1,883,985,069	46,232,301	15,103,257	2.98	64.9
1984	estimate	1,914,993,444	47,461,885	15,189,249	2.96	65.3
1985	estimate	1,947,272,305	48,584,457	15,235,654	2.93	65.7
1986	estimate	1,980,282,456	50,528,469	15,152,801	2.95	66.3
1987	estimate	2,015,448,853	52,005,308	15,292,741	2.94	66.7
1988	estimate	2,051,803,759	50,728,500	15,446,392	2.79	66.9
1989	estimate	2,086,728,363	51,242,712	15,533,710	2.74	67.3
1990	estimate	2,121,722,908	51,719,320	15,806,316	2.70	67.4
1991	estimate	2,156,724,763	46,071,555	15,659,669	2.35	67.8
1992	estimate	2,185,447,387	44,137,345	15,744,162	2.23	68.0
1993	estimate	2,210,842,393	43,076,240	16,040,769	2.15	68.0
1994	estimate	2,237,254,862	42,311,096	16,268,931	2.10	68.2
1995	estimate	2,261,964,508	41,759,519	16,210,761	2.06	68.6
1996	estimate	2,286,546,203	40,927,392	16,100,706	2.02	69.1
1997	estimate	2,310,251,789	40,203,123	16,095,325	1.98	69.5
1998	estimate	2,333,105,171	39,576,893	16,199,896	1.96	69.8
1999	estimate	2,355,298,641	38,959,338	16,566,614	1.93	69.9
2000	estimate	2,376,699,018	39,378,778	16,805,961	1.95	70.2
2001	estimate	2,398,602,639	38,266,652	16,953,795	1.89	70.5
2002	estimate	2,418,833,545	37,967,967	17,203,630	1.88	70.7
2003	estimate	2,439,334,180	37,808,189	17,446,441	1.86	71.0
2004	estimate	2,458,300,197	38,189,519	17,748,904	1.88	71.1
2005	estimate	2,477,250,057	38,408,366	17,752,010	1.88	71.6
2006	estimate	2,497,000,051	38,744,863	17,832,967	1.89	72.0
2007	estimate	2,515,198,258	39,228,150	17,880,992	1.90	72.4
2008	estimate	2,534,097,550	39,881,451	18,173,464	1.93	72.6
2009	estimate	2,555,046,725	40,245,419	18,186,308	1.94	73.1
2010	estimate	2,576,615,114	40,197,392	18,392,654	1.93	73.3
2011	estimate	2,597,864,797	40,326,591	18,459,319	1.93	73.7
2012	estimate	2,618,674,162	41,914,921	18,579,996	2.01	74.1
2013	estimate	2,642,752,559	40,839,204	18,753,476	1.96	74.4
2014	estimate	2,665,444,795	41,328,022	18,989,869	1.99	74.6
2015	estimate	2,688,255,745	39,828,408	19,193,563	1.93	74.9
2016	estimate	2,709,603,090	40,214,330	19,509,789	1.96	75.1
2017	estimate	2,729,787,490	39,671,660	19,860,599	1.94	75.3
2018	estimate	2,751,045,117	36,525,885	19,890,456	1.80	75.6
2019	estimate	2,768,684,616	35,378,610	20,184,502	1.76	75.8
2020	estimate	2,783,827,736	32,178,172	22,338,106	1.62	75.0
2021	estimate	2,794,302,159	30,556,201	24,256,416	1.55	74.3
2022	estimate	2,800,821,514	29,198,519	22,000,150	1.50	75.7
2023	estimate	2,808,659,086	28,465,799	22,313,868	1.48	75.9
2024	estimate	2,813,958,805	28,274,412	22,518,098	1.48	76.1
2025	projection	2,818,817,572	27,988,982	22,689,161	1.48	76.3
2026	projection	2,823,164,218	27,762,694	22,590,457	1.48	76.8
2027	projection	2,828,028,640	27,550,549	22,978,005	1.48	77.0
2028	projection	2,832,371,539	27,381,015	23,391,992	1.49	77.2
2029	projection	2,836,146,113	27,230,084	23,818,016	1.49	77.3
2030	projection	2,839,373,781	27,136,415	24,247,499	1.49	77.5
2031	projection	2,842,122,590	27,065,068	24,689,424	1.49	77.7
2032	projection	2,844,326,754	27,028,174	25,150,297	1.49	77.9
2033	projection	2,846,103,560	27,005,066	25,628,714	1.49	78.0
2034	projection	2,847,372,472	27,006,180	26,104,250	1.49	78.2
2035	projection	2,848,196,359	27,021,961	26,592,208	1.49	78.4
2036	projection	2,848,566,637	27,050,920	27,078,231	1.50	78.6
2037	projection	2,848,520,065	27,098,134	27,568,080	1.50	78.7
2038	projection	2,848,009,429	27,138,805	28,051,120	1.51	78.9
2039	projection	2,847,107,747	27,145,090	28,544,492	1.51	79.0
2040	projection	2,845,711,008	27,131,223	29,027,782	1.52	79.2
2041	projection	2,843,858,478	27,088,993	29,498,745	1.52	79.4
2042	projection	2,841,460,334	27,021,263	29,959,417	1.53	79.5
2043	projection	2,838,587,625	26,948,667	30,413,906	1.54	79.7
2044	projection	2,835,173,914	26,800,279	30,861,327	1.55	79.8
2045	projection	2,831,217,626	26,591,392	31,297,130	1.56	80.0
2046	projection	2,826,581,980	26,315,535	31,720,951	1.56	80.1
2047	projection	2,821,256,077	25,977,056	32,123,931	1.57	80.3
2048	projection	2,815,238,734	25,584,000	32,516,745	1.57	80.4
2049	projection	2,808,409,140	25,152,554	32,898,564	1.57	80.6
2050	projection	2,800,743,844	24,686,603	33,263,448	1.58	80.7
2051	projection	2,792,275,311	24,192,912	33,620,108	1.58	80.8
2052	projection	2,782,974,417	23,709,177	33,961,038	1.58	81.0
2053	projection	2,772,790,537	23,238,802	34,280,545	1.58	81.1
2054	projection	2,761,863,069	22,777,522	34,589,964	1.58	81.2
2055	projection	2,750,182,139	22,377,843	34,883,862	1.58	81.4
2056	projection	2,737,784,167	22,007,148	35,142,438	1.58	81.5
2057	projection	2,724,752,440	21,682,045	35,384,241	1.58	81.6
2058	projection	2,711,190,175	21,402,641	35,598,680	1.58	81.8
2059	projection	2,697,111,539	21,177,783	35,792,426	1.58	81.9
2060	projection	2,682,606,663	20,989,895	35,946,834	1.58	82.0
2061	projection	2,667,827,744	20,834,764	36,058,943	1.58	82.1
2062	projection	2,652,762,184	20,726,637	36,134,840	1.58	82.3
2063	projection	2,637,495,641	20,654,366	36,182,132	1.58	82.4
2064	projection	2,622,132,386	20,596,037	36,227,083	1.58	82.5
2065	projection	2,606,642,043	20,550,776	36,237,731	1.58	82.6
2066	projection	2,591,074,181	20,503,685	36,234,676	1.58	82.7
2067	projection	2,575,521,190	20,466,377	36,218,469	1.58	82.9
2068	projection	2,559,891,826	20,426,605	36,198,758	1.58	83.0
2069	projection	2,544,249,815	20,376,619	36,178,790	1.58	83.1
2070	projection	2,528,590,644	20,324,807	36,147,025	1.58	83.2
2071	projection	2,512,930,381	20,262,604	36,137,023	1.58	83.3
2072	projection	2,497,214,054	20,184,791	36,130,210	1.59	83.5
2073	projection	2,481,427,192	20,100,699	36,140,583	1.59	83.6
2074	projection	2,465,538,442	19,991,095	36,134,496	1.59	83.7
2075	projection	2,449,532,227	19,862,890	36,136,516	1.59	83.8
2076	projection	2,433,360,701	19,718,373	36,148,496	1.59	83.9
2077	projection	2,417,096,821	19,550,593	36,139,135	1.60	84.0
2078	projection	2,400,645,997	19,362,911	36,123,431	1.60	84.1
2079	projection	2,384,085,629	19,162,857	36,085,053	1.60	84.2
2080	projection	2,367,367,339	18,954,230	36,014,960	1.60	84.3
2081	projection	2,350,501,569	18,732,905	35,912,256	1.60	84.4
2082	projection	2,333,563,932	18,511,052	35,761,848	1.60	84.5
2083	projection	2,316,539,874	18,276,810	35,592,307	1.61	84.6
2084	projection	2,299,464,503	18,039,865	35,378,609	1.61	84.7
2085	projection	2,282,311,141	17,813,794	35,130,947	1.61	84.8
2086	projection	2,265,200,501	17,584,228	34,855,692	1.61	84.9
2087	projection	2,248,189,611	17,373,810	34,574,329	1.61	85.0
2088	projection	2,231,214,166	17,174,554	34,290,014	1.61	85.1
2089	projection	2,214,310,744	16,991,590	34,012,369	1.61	85.2
2090	projection	2,197,514,200	16,828,550	33,742,822	1.61	85.3
2091	projection	2,180,777,980	16,675,336	33,480,104	1.61	85.4
2092	projection	2,164,218,742	16,537,311	33,259,156	1.61	85.5
2093	projection	2,147,720,434	16,415,703	33,062,354	1.61	85.6
2094	projection	2,131,318,123	16,305,848	32,877,644	1.61	85.7
2095	projection	2,114,990,266	16,208,736	32,723,094	1.61	85.8
2096	projection	2,098,719,680	16,121,079	32,569,992	1.61	85.9
2097	projection	2,082,479,827	16,050,566	32,449,425	1.61	86.0
2098	projection	2,066,290,201	15,980,129	32,326,419	1.61	86.1
2099	projection	2,050,174,414	15,919,440	32,204,279	1.61	86.2
2100	projection	2,034,143,182	15,850,547	32,071,597	1.61	86.3

AGG · membership

What Upper-middle-income countries is

Upper-middle-income countries is one of the UN's analytical groupings. This dataset carries the group's totals, not its membership, so its countries are not listed here.

Show the numbers: Upper-middle-income countries, mid-2026, by single year of age

Upper-middle-income countries: population by single year of age, mid-2026
Age	Male	Female
0	14,222,500	13,382,200
1	14,321,000	13,456,100
2	14,432,900	13,538,500
3	14,665,400	13,745,200
4	15,207,800	14,266,900
5	15,981,500	14,975,300
6	17,251,100	16,029,500
7	18,379,500	16,975,300
8	19,464,000	17,965,200
9	20,422,600	18,796,200
10	20,460,500	18,779,800
11	20,733,300	18,989,500
12	21,015,300	19,204,900
13	21,201,400	19,336,900
14	21,073,300	19,201,900
15	20,587,000	18,758,600
16	20,506,500	18,669,300
17	20,356,900	18,528,700
18	20,027,900	18,236,600
19	19,662,400	17,912,700
20	19,383,000	17,673,200
21	19,190,000	17,511,500
22	18,988,500	17,343,000
23	18,903,500	17,288,100
24	18,967,400	17,373,700
25	19,266,700	17,670,600
26	19,323,500	17,761,100
27	19,216,600	17,718,800
28	19,409,300	17,942,400
29	19,639,600	18,198,500
30	19,918,500	18,504,300
31	20,144,600	18,769,300
32	20,337,500	19,012,400
33	20,658,700	19,382,600
34	21,268,300	20,014,200
35	22,982,300	21,658,700
36	24,030,900	22,710,100
37	23,512,300	22,333,700
38	23,458,500	22,384,400
39	23,208,500	22,258,700
40	22,225,100	21,461,500
41	21,329,900	20,723,700
42	20,605,900	20,121,200
43	20,725,600	20,310,600
44	20,581,000	20,243,300
45	19,732,900	19,509,400
46	19,213,200	19,074,000
47	18,557,800	18,505,600
48	18,036,000	18,072,800
49	18,096,900	18,201,000
50	18,386,000	18,564,600
51	18,807,000	19,052,400
52	19,425,000	19,730,900
53	19,715,100	20,092,000
54	19,757,600	20,204,600
55	19,960,800	20,489,000
56	19,785,300	20,408,200
57	19,354,500	20,094,500
58	18,275,800	19,126,700
59	17,437,900	18,388,000
60	17,584,900	18,660,400
61	17,378,700	18,589,100
62	17,576,400	18,937,700
63	16,559,000	18,012,000
64	13,120,000	14,549,200
65	11,086,800	12,553,700
66	10,901,000	12,488,900
67	11,153,600	12,871,200
68	11,827,600	13,739,700
69	11,493,500	13,540,700
70	10,856,100	13,016,200
71	10,476,600	12,779,900
72	9,699,620	12,057,600
73	9,144,080	11,581,900
74	8,372,880	10,823,300
75	7,483,550	9,881,850
76	6,716,040	9,020,020
77	5,846,770	7,931,690
78	5,178,680	7,070,460
79	4,551,510	6,324,300
80	3,905,670	5,550,910
81	3,338,190	4,814,930
82	2,888,540	4,258,690
83	2,532,890	3,885,570
84	2,258,930	3,647,230
85	1,970,650	3,336,320
86	1,649,610	2,922,200
87	1,377,150	2,549,050
88	1,146,910	2,216,990
89	916,707	1,861,970
90	710,504	1,528,490
91	537,010	1,222,300
92	398,217	955,540
93	287,227	735,874
94	198,622	543,300
95	136,289	398,605
96	90,602	285,612
97	57,888	196,327
98	36,096	130,547
99	21,540	82,300
100+	29,350	125,004

AGG · 1950–2100 · every age, every year

Upper-middle-income countries, every age in every year

Each column is a year and each row an age; the denser the ink in a cell, the more people. Everyone born in the same year climbs one 45° diagonal, so famines, baby booms and migration show up as streaks. Select a cell to follow its generation.

AGG · ages 15–64

Who does the work in Upper-middle-income countries

On the UN's projection, Upper-middle-income countries will have the most working-age people it ever has in 2028: 1,948,170,000 people aged 15–64. In 2023 it had 1,918,580,000.

100 aged 15–64

29 children

18 aged 65+

aged 15–64 children under 15 aged 65 and over

How to read this: the orange squares are 100 people aged 15–64 in 2023, and the rows below are how many children (teal) and how many people aged 65 or older (violet) lived alongside them.

Fewer than 50 dependants live alongside every 100 people aged 15–64 in 36 years: 2001–2036.

fewer than 50 dependants per 100 the same, projected 50 or more

How to read this: the strip runs 1950 to 2100. Coloured years are the ones with under 50 dependants for every 100 people aged 15–64; grey years are the rest, and a hatched year has not happened yet.

How every country compares

AGG · arrivals minus departures

Who arrives in Upper-middle-income countries, and who leaves

In 2020–2025 Upper-middle-income countries loses 210,071 people a year: everyone who arrives, minus everyone who leaves. The age at which that happens most is 30–34, at 85,006 a year more leaving than arriving.

one square = 10,000 people a year

020406080+

more arrive than leave more leave than arrive

How to read this: left to right is age, from babies to 100. Blue squares above the line are ages at which more people arrive than leave; orange squares below it, ages at which more leave than arrive. These are the UN's projection for 2020–2025. There is no record of migration by age before 2020.

Its best and worst years between 1950 and 2023: a gain of 1,446,499 (2017), and a loss of 2,998,230 (1992).

This is a group of countries, so its figure counts only moves across its own outer edge: someone moving from one country inside it to another does not appear.

How migration works everywhere

AGG · births by the mother's age · 1950–2100

Who has the babies in Upper-middle-income countries

Of every 100 babies born in upper-middle-income countries in 2023, 7 had a mother under 20, 76 a mother aged 20 to 34 and 17 a mother aged 35 or older. In 1950 it was 11 under 20 and 20 aged 35 or older.

1950
11 · 69 · 20

2023
7 · 76 · 17

2050 · projected
4 · 71 · 25

The mother's age: under 20 20 to 34 35 or older projected

How to read this: each block is 100 babies born in that year, one square each, coloured by how old the mother was. The numbers under a block are the three groups, youngest mothers first.

Babies born, 2023: 28,465,799
Average age when women have a baby: 28.3 years; 29.5 in 1950
Babies a year per 1,000 girls aged 15–19: 23; 84 in 1950

Babies by the mother's age, 1950–2100

Babies born in upper-middle-income countries by the mother's age
Mother's age	1950	1975	2000	2023	2050 projected	2100 projected
10–14	176,849	206,993	107,987	48,412	19,624	3,148
15–19	3,901,447	4,378,817	3,595,769	2,075,252	1,079,876	359,771
20–24	10,234,591	15,538,746	12,851,905	6,373,929	3,746,750	2,082,302
25–29	9,717,552	12,395,663	13,069,966	8,224,962	6,277,760	4,659,742
30–34	6,820,548	6,893,794	6,573,134	6,894,222	7,499,770	5,023,971
35–39	4,981,937	4,241,666	2,451,308	3,701,306	4,745,918	2,903,882
40–44	2,407,921	1,879,007	634,151	983,002	1,215,651	748,366
45–49	309,528	288,737	87,687	152,948	98,728	67,812
50–54	9,208	15,471	6,871	11,766	2,526	1,553
All babies	38,559,581	45,838,894	39,378,778	28,465,799	24,686,603	15,850,547

The UN's births for each year, split by the mother's age in the UN's own proportions.

Apparatus

Sources and method

Every figure on this page comes from the UN's World Population Prospects 2024: the annual tables for regions and groups (estimates to 2023, then the medium projection), and the population by single year of age and sex for the pyramid.

Sources: UN WPP 2024 · World Bank · UN WUP 2025 · Maddison Project 2020 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →

Checked before it was drawn

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries The pyramid for every year was checked against the published total. What that stamp counts, and what every page here has to pass before it can be built: how this site checks its figures.