Sub-region · UN WPP 2024

Polynesia population

Polynesia population now

690,059

A projection read at this second, not a count: the UN's totals for 1 January 2026 and 2027, joined by a straight line.

Mid-2023, UN estimate: 689,523

Year: 2026; projection · medium
Population, mid-2026: 690,027
Median age: 28.9
Aged 65+: 9.5%

Move through time, 1950–2100

2023 | 2024 peak 2085

male female projection · one cell = 200 people

How to read this: one row for each age, newborns at the bottom; men on the left, women on the right.

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries

AGG · 1950–2100 · in brief

Polynesia in numbers

Polynesia had 689,523 people in mid-2023, less than 0.01% of the world's people. That is 2.7 times its 1950 population of 255 thousand. It covers 9 countries and areas; the largest are French Polynesia (40.8%), Samoa (31.4%), Tonga (15.2%), American Samoa (6.9%) and the Cook Islands (2.1%).

The UN's medium projection has it peaking in 2085 at 763 thousand, then falling to 754 thousand by 2100.

Births stay ahead of deaths until 2100; in the medium projection, deaths are ahead every year after it.

The median age was 17.0 in 1950 and 28.4 in 2023; the projection has 43.3 in 2100. 8.3% of people were 65 or older in 2023, against 24.4% projected for 2100. The working-age population (15–64) is projected to peak in 2069 at 465 thousand.

Population, mid-2023: 689,523
Share of the world, 2023: less than 0.01%
Change in a year, mid-2022 to mid-2023: +0.03% · +196 people
Births, 2023: 12,292
Deaths, 2023: 3,714
Net migration, 2023: −8,405
Children per woman, 2023: 2.54
Median age, 2023: 28.4 years
Life expectancy at birth, 2023: 77.2 years
Population, mid-1950: 255,407
Projected, mid-2050: 735,268
Projected, mid-2100: 754,397

AGG · 1950–2100 · total population

Population, 1950–2100

peak 2085estimates | projections0200 k400 k600 k800 k1950197520002025205020752100

estimate projection (medium). One column is one year's population, read on 1 January; the paper rules divide it into equal cells.

Show the numbers: Polynesia, 1950–2100

Polynesia: population on 1 January, births, deaths, fertility and life expectancy, 1950–2100
Year	Kind	Population, 1 Jan	Births	Deaths	Children per woman	Life expectancy
1950	estimate	252,230	11,708	4,159	6.60	49.4
1951	estimate	258,584	12,106	4,099	6.65	50.3
1952	estimate	264,800	12,475	4,046	6.68	51.1
1953	estimate	271,033	12,825	3,987	6.73	52.0
1954	estimate	277,550	13,188	3,936	6.77	52.8
1955	estimate	283,991	13,481	3,888	6.81	53.6
1956	estimate	290,738	13,740	3,830	6.82	54.4
1957	estimate	297,833	14,031	3,785	6.83	55.1
1958	estimate	304,155	14,281	3,735	6.84	55.7
1959	estimate	310,666	14,508	3,695	6.86	56.4
1960	estimate	317,330	14,672	3,658	6.85	57.0
1961	estimate	324,586	14,853	3,627	6.84	57.6
1962	estimate	332,038	15,030	3,579	6.84	58.1
1963	estimate	340,017	15,167	3,530	6.81	58.6
1964	estimate	349,250	15,385	3,762	6.78	57.9
1965	estimate	358,503	15,572	3,478	6.74	59.6
1966	estimate	367,896	15,748	3,566	6.67	59.5
1967	estimate	377,444	15,932	3,431	6.61	60.5
1968	estimate	385,901	16,019	3,385	6.54	60.9
1969	estimate	394,496	16,088	3,345	6.46	61.4
1970	estimate	403,319	15,986	3,309	6.32	61.9
1971	estimate	411,985	15,882	3,272	6.17	62.3
1972	estimate	420,274	15,785	3,230	6.00	62.7
1973	estimate	427,541	15,712	3,192	5.84	63.1
1974	estimate	434,703	15,636	3,166	5.69	63.6
1975	estimate	444,898	15,689	3,154	5.54	64.0
1976	estimate	455,123	15,754	3,152	5.41	64.4
1977	estimate	465,296	15,900	3,149	5.30	64.8
1978	estimate	473,012	15,915	3,131	5.13	65.2
1979	estimate	480,751	16,101	3,101	5.01	65.6
1980	estimate	488,294	16,366	3,076	4.93	66.1
1981	estimate	496,389	16,698	3,059	4.87	66.5
1982	estimate	504,571	16,827	3,038	4.76	66.9
1983	estimate	511,848	17,086	3,017	4.68	67.4
1984	estimate	518,360	17,517	3,004	4.68	67.9
1985	estimate	524,094	17,801	2,991	4.65	68.3
1986	estimate	530,195	17,824	2,960	4.55	68.7
1987	estimate	536,763	17,814	2,967	4.46	69.0
1988	estimate	545,054	18,205	2,952	4.44	69.4
1989	estimate	552,744	17,982	2,944	4.29	69.7
1990	estimate	559,681	18,065	2,953	4.23	70.0
1991	estimate	565,930	17,852	2,928	4.12	70.3
1992	estimate	572,033	17,746	2,911	4.05	70.6
1993	estimate	578,826	17,834	2,918	3.99	71.0
1994	estimate	585,266	17,593	2,899	3.89	71.3
1995	estimate	591,506	17,241	2,879	3.77	71.7
1996	estimate	597,619	17,019	2,859	3.68	72.0
1997	estimate	603,853	16,690	2,870	3.58	72.3
1998	estimate	610,437	16,520	2,846	3.51	72.7
1999	estimate	616,655	16,724	2,834	3.52	73.0
2000	estimate	622,807	16,629	2,833	3.47	73.3
2001	estimate	628,448	16,413	2,845	3.42	73.6
2002	estimate	633,925	16,179	2,847	3.36	73.9
2003	estimate	639,231	15,929	2,881	3.29	74.1
2004	estimate	644,687	15,785	2,919	3.24	74.3
2005	estimate	649,613	15,733	2,968	3.22	74.4
2006	estimate	654,210	15,716	3,019	3.21	74.6
2007	estimate	658,790	15,436	3,065	3.14	74.8
2008	estimate	663,293	15,660	3,107	3.17	74.9
2009	estimate	666,032	15,665	3,344	3.15	74.2
2010	estimate	668,812	15,727	3,186	3.14	75.2
2011	estimate	671,861	15,571	3,226	3.10	75.3
2012	estimate	674,967	15,425	3,276	3.06	75.4
2013	estimate	677,490	15,123	3,307	2.98	75.6
2014	estimate	679,804	15,059	3,372	2.96	75.7
2015	estimate	681,824	14,722	3,411	2.89	75.8
2016	estimate	683,510	14,273	3,453	2.80	75.9
2017	estimate	684,888	13,862	3,486	2.73	76.1
2018	estimate	686,708	13,633	3,535	2.70	76.2
2019	estimate	686,659	13,248	3,655	2.65	76.0
2020	estimate	687,130	13,047	3,787	2.63	76.0
2021	estimate	689,277	12,827	4,228	2.60	75.0
2022	estimate	689,218	12,554	3,676	2.57	77.0
2023	estimate	689,436	12,292	3,714	2.54	77.2
2024	estimate	689,610	12,101	3,785	2.52	77.4
2025	projection	689,877	11,925	3,853	2.50	77.6
2026	projection	689,962	11,789	3,923	2.48	77.8
2027	projection	690,093	11,696	3,992	2.46	78.0
2028	projection	690,539	11,655	4,072	2.45	78.2
2029	projection	691,270	11,660	4,144	2.44	78.3
2030	projection	692,153	11,692	4,237	2.43	78.5
2031	projection	693,386	11,757	4,320	2.42	78.7
2032	projection	694,856	11,847	4,413	2.41	78.8
2033	projection	696,431	11,947	4,509	2.41	79.0
2034	projection	698,181	12,053	4,606	2.40	79.2
2035	projection	700,170	12,161	4,694	2.40	79.3
2036	projection	702,359	12,250	4,789	2.40	79.5
2037	projection	704,615	12,323	4,883	2.40	79.6
2038	projection	706,948	12,382	4,977	2.40	79.8
2039	projection	709,592	12,422	5,081	2.40	79.9
2040	projection	712,125	12,416	5,181	2.39	80.1
2041	projection	714,616	12,381	5,269	2.39	80.2
2042	projection	717,166	12,320	5,365	2.39	80.4
2043	projection	719,731	12,236	5,466	2.38	80.5
2044	projection	722,083	12,133	5,557	2.38	80.7
2045	projection	724,599	12,002	5,656	2.37	80.8
2046	projection	726,948	11,860	5,751	2.36	81.0
2047	projection	729,147	11,701	5,838	2.35	81.1
2048	projection	731,042	11,524	5,931	2.34	81.2
2049	projection	732,884	11,344	6,003	2.33	81.3
2050	projection	734,500	11,172	6,085	2.32	81.5
2051	projection	736,036	11,000	6,161	2.31	81.6
2052	projection	737,360	10,854	6,237	2.30	81.7
2053	projection	738,468	10,710	6,311	2.29	81.8
2054	projection	739,369	10,589	6,375	2.28	82.0
2055	projection	740,147	10,481	6,437	2.27	82.1
2056	projection	740,887	10,386	6,491	2.26	82.2
2057	projection	741,511	10,310	6,548	2.25	82.3
2058	projection	742,169	10,266	6,591	2.24	82.4
2059	projection	742,986	10,241	6,637	2.23	82.5
2060	projection	743,680	10,231	6,679	2.22	82.6
2061	projection	744,370	10,232	6,708	2.22	82.8
2062	projection	745,033	10,232	6,754	2.21	82.8
2063	projection	745,846	10,249	6,777	2.20	83.0
2064	projection	746,718	10,263	6,803	2.19	83.0
2065	projection	747,595	10,273	6,834	2.18	83.1
2066	projection	748,395	10,286	6,844	2.18	83.2
2067	projection	749,490	10,289	6,878	2.17	83.3
2068	projection	750,422	10,270	6,891	2.16	83.4
2069	projection	751,558	10,251	6,922	2.15	83.5
2070	projection	752,593	10,218	6,932	2.14	83.6
2071	projection	753,611	10,173	6,961	2.13	83.7
2072	projection	754,860	10,128	6,980	2.12	83.7
2073	projection	755,920	10,068	6,998	2.11	83.8
2074	projection	756,926	9,988	7,019	2.10	83.9
2075	projection	757,806	9,898	7,049	2.09	84.0
2076	projection	758,671	9,803	7,065	2.08	84.0
2077	projection	759,524	9,708	7,090	2.08	84.1
2078	projection	760,281	9,615	7,115	2.07	84.2
2079	projection	760,950	9,521	7,149	2.06	84.2
2080	projection	761,482	9,414	7,174	2.06	84.3
2081	projection	761,889	9,312	7,217	2.05	84.4
2082	projection	762,253	9,222	7,250	2.04	84.4
2083	projection	762,542	9,132	7,289	2.04	84.5
2084	projection	762,721	9,049	7,336	2.03	84.5
2085	projection	762,799	8,976	7,378	2.02	84.6
2086	projection	762,790	8,900	7,420	2.01	84.7
2087	projection	762,687	8,834	7,470	2.01	84.7
2088	projection	762,560	8,773	7,522	2.00	84.8
2089	projection	762,436	8,728	7,587	1.99	84.8
2090	projection	762,154	8,683	7,663	1.99	84.9
2091	projection	761,745	8,647	7,733	1.98	84.9
2092	projection	761,324	8,607	7,806	1.97	85.0
2093	projection	760,855	8,580	7,894	1.97	85.0
2094	projection	760,217	8,553	7,972	1.96	85.1
2095	projection	759,518	8,522	8,056	1.96	85.2
2096	projection	758,788	8,485	8,144	1.95	85.2
2097	projection	757,953	8,452	8,232	1.94	85.3
2098	projection	757,001	8,413	8,301	1.94	85.3
2099	projection	756,026	8,374	8,370	1.93	85.4
2100	projection	754,990	8,342	8,434	1.92	85.5

AGG · members

Countries and areas in Polynesia

Polynesia: member countries and areas, population mid-2023, share of the group and projected mid-2100
#	Country or area	Mid-2023	Share	Mid-2100, projected
1	French Polynesia	281,119	40.8%	186,862
2	Samoa	216,663	31.4%	383,557
3	Tonga	104,598	15.2%	117,870
4	American Samoa	47,521	6.9%	32,293
5	Cook Islands	14,222	2.1%	7,904
6	Wallis and Futuna	11,370	1.6%	6,877
7	Tuvalu	9,816	1.4%	12,269
8	Tokelau	2,398	0.35%	4,370
9	Niue	1,818	0.26%	2,394

Show the numbers: Polynesia, mid-2026, by single year of age

Polynesia: population by single year of age, mid-2026
Age	Male	Female
0	5,976	5,588
1	5,954	5,566
2	5,977	5,586
3	6,053	5,653
4	6,155	5,743
5	6,091	5,671
6	6,192	5,751
7	6,568	6,159
8	6,714	6,392
9	6,770	6,434
10	6,918	6,508
11	7,013	6,614
12	7,065	6,678
13	7,130	6,744
14	7,132	6,752
15	7,131	6,678
16	7,034	6,571
17	6,806	6,478
18	6,499	6,278
19	6,302	6,036
20	6,164	5,873
21	5,870	5,656
22	5,596	5,440
23	5,294	5,188
24	5,046	4,944
25	4,959	4,805
26	4,689	4,582
27	4,182	4,252
28	3,786	4,036
29	3,708	4,034
30	3,781	4,158
31	3,802	4,180
32	3,830	4,177
33	3,888	4,316
34	3,948	4,394
35	4,004	4,402
36	4,014	4,407
37	3,986	4,370
38	4,014	4,416
39	4,021	4,466
40	4,003	4,467
41	4,017	4,445
42	4,027	4,380
43	3,980	4,241
44	3,898	4,102
45	3,899	4,087
46	3,904	4,102
47	3,786	4,022
48	3,754	3,887
49	3,794	3,800
50	3,792	3,792
51	3,822	3,816
52	3,804	3,864
53	3,800	3,885
54	3,881	3,882
55	3,919	3,861
56	3,912	3,756
57	3,854	3,673
58	3,788	3,626
59	3,712	3,543
60	3,494	3,390
61	3,300	3,237
62	3,187	3,173
63	3,072	3,114
64	2,872	2,928
65	2,698	2,760
66	2,623	2,700
67	2,458	2,514
68	2,274	2,282
69	2,154	2,190
70	2,036	2,118
71	1,894	1,988
72	1,736	1,828
73	1,602	1,724
74	1,422	1,584
75	1,199	1,356
76	1,083	1,264
77	1,025	1,236
78	944	1,144
79	864	1,046
80	792	993
81	696	880
82	605	742
83	524	672
84	442	613
85	382	554
86	326	485
87	265	409
88	207	352
89	162	300
90	124	244
91	95	202
92	73	164
93	56	128
94	39	96
95	24	66
96	15	46
97	10	32
98	7	24
99	5	16
100+	4	28

AGG · 1950–2100 · every age, every year

Polynesia, every age in every year

Each column is a year and each row an age; the denser the ink in a cell, the more people. Everyone born in the same year climbs one 45° diagonal, so famines, baby booms and migration show up as streaks. Select a cell to follow its generation.

AGG · ages 15–64

Who does the work in Polynesia

On the UN's projection, Polynesia will have the most working-age people it ever has in 2069: 464,833 people aged 15–64. In 2023 it had 432,060.

100 aged 15–64

46 children

13 aged 65+

aged 15–64 children under 15 aged 65 and over

How to read this: the orange squares are 100 people aged 15–64 in 2023, and the rows below are how many children (teal) and how many people aged 65 or older (violet) lived alongside them.

At no point between 1950 and 2100 do fewer than 50 dependants live alongside every 100 people aged 15–64 here.

fewer than 50 dependants per 100 the same, projected 50 or more

How to read this: 1950 on the left, 2100 on the right; coloured in the years with fewer than 50 dependants per 100 working-age people, grey in the rest, hatched where that is a projection.

How every country compares

AGG · arrivals minus departures

Who arrives in Polynesia, and who leaves

In 2020–2025 Polynesia loses 8,257 people a year: everyone who arrives, minus everyone who leaves. The age at which that happens most is 20–24, at 1,574 a year more leaving than arriving.

one square = 200 people a year

020406080+

more arrive than leave more leave than arrive

How to read this: left to right is age, from babies to 100. Blue squares above the line are ages at which more people arrive than leave; orange squares below it, ages at which more leave than arrive. These are the UN's projection for 2020–2025. There is no record of migration by age before 2020.

In the years that were counted, 1950–2023, the most it gained in one year was -1,263 (1950) and the most it lost was 10,160 (2018).

This is a group of countries, so its figure counts only moves across its own outer edge: someone moving from one country inside it to another does not appear.

How migration works everywhere

AGG · births by the mother's age · 1950–2100

Who has the babies in Polynesia

Of every 100 babies born in Polynesia in 2023, 8 had a mother under 20, 73 a mother aged 20 to 34 and 19 a mother aged 35 or older. In 1950 it was 10 under 20 and 14 aged 35 or older.

1950
10 · 76 · 14

2023
8 · 73 · 19

2050 · projected
7 · 72 · 21

The mother's age: under 20 20 to 34 35 or older projected

How to read this: each block is 100 babies born in that year, one square each, coloured by how old the mother was. The numbers under a block are the three groups, youngest mothers first.

Babies born, 2023: 12,292
Average age when women have a baby: 29.2 years; 29.4 in 1950
Babies a year per 1,000 girls aged 15–19: 31; 85 in 1950

Babies by the mother's age, 1950–2100

Babies born in Polynesia by the mother's age
Mother's age	1950	1975	2000	2023	2050 projected	2100 projected
10–14	14	33	19	11	8	3
15–19	1,115	1,691	1,257	971	769	397
20–24	3,417	4,576	4,276	3,105	2,554	1,603
25–29	3,391	3,974	4,673	3,094	2,697	2,363
30–34	2,068	2,732	3,607	2,768	2,844	2,436
35–39	1,254	1,904	2,034	1,692	1,710	1,190
40–44	388	655	677	593	559	327
45–49	60	121	82	56	30	23
50–54	1	3	4	2	1	0
All babies	11,708	15,689	16,629	12,292	11,172	8,342

The UN's births for each year, split by the mother's age in the UN's own proportions.

Apparatus

Sources and method

Every figure on this page comes from the UN's World Population Prospects 2024: the annual tables for regions and groups (estimates to 2023, then the medium projection), and the population by single year of age and sex for the pyramid.

Sources: UN WPP 2024 · World Bank · UN WUP 2025 · Maddison Project 2020 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →

Checked before it was drawn

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries The 9 countries listed were summed and checked against the UN's total for every year. The pyramid for every year was checked against the published total. What that stamp counts, and what every page here has to pass before it can be built: how this site checks its figures.