Country or area · Polynesia · Oceania · UN WPP 2024

Tokelau population

Tokelau population now

2,708

A projection read at this second, not a count: the UN's totals for 1 January 2026 and 2027, joined by a straight line. 95% range for 31 December 2026: 2,457–3,026.

Mid-2023, UN estimate: 2,398

Year: 2026; projection · medium
Population, mid-2026: 2,692; 95% range, 31 Dec: 2,457–3,026
Median age: 28.6
Aged 65+: 8.6%

Move through time, 1950–2100

2023 | 2024 peak 2081

male female projection · one cell = 1 person

How to read this: one row for each age, newborns at the bottom; men on the left, women on the right.

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries

TKL · 1950–2100 · in brief

Tokelau in numbers

The UN counts 2,398 people in Tokelau in mid-2023, which makes it the 235th-largest population of the 236 countries and areas the UN reports, and less than 0.01% of the world's people. That is 1.5 times its 1950 population of 1,592.

The UN's medium projection has it peaking in 2081 at 4,422, then falling to 4,370 by 2100. The projection is uncertain: on 1 January 2100 the UN's 95% range runs from 1,190 to 30,263.

Births stay ahead of deaths until 2087; in the medium projection, deaths are ahead every year after it.

The median age was 19.7 in 1950 and 27.7 in 2023; the projection has 45.7 in 2100. 7.8% of people were 65 or older in 2023, against 26.8% projected for 2100. The working-age population (15–64) is projected to peak in 2085 at 2,650.

By size it is the 235th country in 2023; the projection puts it 233rd in 2050 and 231st in 2100. In the medium projection it overtakes the Falkland Islands in 2037 and Montserrat in 2048.

Population, mid-2023: 2,398
Rank by population, 2023: 235 of 236
Share of the world, 2023: less than 0.01%
Change in a year, mid-2022 to mid-2023: +4.72% · +108 people
Births, 2023: 47
Deaths, 2023: 14
Net migration, 2023: +73
Children per woman, 2023: 2.61
Median age, 2023: 27.7 years
Life expectancy at birth, 2023: 77.0 years
In a city, 2025: 0 of every 100
Population, mid-1950: 1,592
Projected, mid-2050: 3,822
Projected, mid-2100: 4,370

TKL · 1950–2100 · total population

Population, 1950–2100

peak 2081estimates | projections010 k20 k30 k40 k1950197520002025205020752100

estimate projection, up to the bottom of the 95% range 95% range medium projection. Every column stands for a single year, counted on 1 January, and the paper rules slice it into cells of equal size.

Show the numbers: Tokelau, 1950–2100

Tokelau: population on 1 January, births, deaths, fertility and life expectancy, 1950–2100
Year	Kind	Population, 1 Jan	95% range	Births	Deaths	Children per woman	Life expectancy
1950	estimate	1,614		57	23	5.12	54.7
1951	estimate	1,570		57	22	5.22	55.1
1952	estimate	1,554		57	21	5.31	55.5
1953	estimate	1,573		59	21	5.38	55.8
1954	estimate	1,579		60	21	5.39	56.2
1955	estimate	1,593		63	21	5.50	56.6
1956	estimate	1,593		65	20	5.60	57.0
1957	estimate	1,615		67	20	5.63	57.4
1958	estimate	1,658		70	20	5.67	57.8
1959	estimate	1,705		72	20	5.71	58.2
1960	estimate	1,754		75	20	5.73	58.6
1961	estimate	1,814		77	20	5.72	59.0
1962	estimate	1,863		78	20	5.69	59.4
1963	estimate	1,876		77	20	5.66	59.8
1964	estimate	1,888		76	20	5.62	60.1
1965	estimate	1,897		73	19	5.55	60.5
1966	estimate	1,900		70	19	5.46	60.9
1967	estimate	1,896		67	18	5.37	61.3
1968	estimate	1,851		64	18	5.27	61.6
1969	estimate	1,803		61	17	5.16	62.0
1970	estimate	1,750		57	17	5.04	62.3
1971	estimate	1,691		54	16	4.93	62.6
1972	estimate	1,640		51	16	4.80	62.8
1973	estimate	1,641		50	16	4.66	63.0
1974	estimate	1,644		49	16	4.52	63.3
1975	estimate	1,639		49	16	4.41	63.5
1976	estimate	1,638		48	16	4.32	63.7
1977	estimate	1,647		48	15	4.22	64.0
1978	estimate	1,658		48	15	4.16	64.4
1979	estimate	1,667		47	15	4.10	64.7
1980	estimate	1,665		47	15	4.08	65.2
1981	estimate	1,663		47	15	4.06	65.6
1982	estimate	1,664		47	14	4.05	66.1
1983	estimate	1,668		47	14	4.09	66.5
1984	estimate	1,710		48	14	4.15	66.9
1985	estimate	1,744		50	14	4.19	67.3
1986	estimate	1,778		52	14	4.26	67.7
1987	estimate	1,786		53	14	4.33	68.1
1988	estimate	1,770		55	14	4.42	68.5
1989	estimate	1,762		56	13	4.51	69.0
1990	estimate	1,764		57	13	4.56	69.4
1991	estimate	1,769		56	13	4.60	69.8
1992	estimate	1,778		55	13	4.61	70.2
1993	estimate	1,778		55	13	4.58	70.6
1994	estimate	1,772		54	12	4.52	70.9
1995	estimate	1,771		54	12	4.47	71.2
1996	estimate	1,771		53	12	4.38	71.5
1997	estimate	1,771		51	12	4.27	71.7
1998	estimate	1,792		50	12	4.14	71.8
1999	estimate	1,810		49	12	4.00	72.0
2000	estimate	1,833		47	12	3.82	72.2
2001	estimate	1,856		45	12	3.67	72.4
2002	estimate	1,872		44	12	3.57	72.7
2003	estimate	1,807		40	12	3.51	72.9
2004	estimate	1,741		37	12	3.47	73.1
2005	estimate	1,669		34	12	3.44	73.3
2006	estimate	1,592		30	12	3.42	73.6
2007	estimate	1,546		27	12	3.40	73.8
2008	estimate	1,558		27	12	3.38	74.0
2009	estimate	1,567		28	12	3.34	74.3
2010	estimate	1,581		28	12	3.25	74.5
2011	estimate	1,588		28	12	3.16	74.8
2012	estimate	1,609		28	12	3.10	75.0
2013	estimate	1,709		32	12	3.04	75.3
2014	estimate	1,742		32	12	2.99	75.5
2015	estimate	1,714		31	12	2.92	75.7
2016	estimate	1,682		30	12	2.86	75.9
2017	estimate	1,672		29	12	2.81	76.1
2018	estimate	1,811		33	12	2.78	76.2
2019	estimate	1,944		37	12	2.75	76.5
2020	estimate	2,084		41	13	2.71	76.6
2021	estimate	2,172		42	13	2.68	76.7
2022	estimate	2,238		43	13	2.65	76.9
2023	estimate	2,342		47	14	2.61	77.0
2024	estimate	2,453		51	14	2.60	77.2
2025	projection	2,560	2,476–2,646	53	15	2.57	77.3
2026	projection	2,656	2,484–2,842	55	15	2.54	77.4
2027	projection	2,726	2,457–3,026	57	15	2.52	77.5
2028	projection	2,805	2,428–3,239	58	16	2.49	77.7
2029	projection	2,882	2,385–3,487	59	16	2.47	77.8
2030	projection	2,955	2,347–3,710	60	17	2.44	77.9
2031	projection	3,015	2,301–3,951	60	17	2.42	78.0
2032	projection	3,091	2,274–4,214	60	18	2.40	78.2
2033	projection	3,152	2,210–4,507	60	18	2.38	78.3
2034	projection	3,203	2,160–4,742	60	18	2.36	78.4
2035	projection	3,254	2,114–5,008	59	19	2.34	78.5
2036	projection	3,305	2,059–5,328	59	19	2.33	78.7
2037	projection	3,362	2,020–5,664	58	20	2.31	78.8
2038	projection	3,412	2,005–5,948	57	20	2.29	78.9
2039	projection	3,453	1,940–6,233	56	21	2.27	79.0
2040	projection	3,494	1,872–6,524	56	21	2.26	79.2
2041	projection	3,530	1,837–6,876	55	22	2.25	79.3
2042	projection	3,564	1,846–7,247	55	22	2.23	79.4
2043	projection	3,605	1,817–7,622	54	23	2.22	79.5
2044	projection	3,635	1,782–8,064	54	23	2.21	79.7
2045	projection	3,674	1,770–8,341	54	24	2.19	79.8
2046	projection	3,705	1,735–8,583	54	25	2.18	80.0
2047	projection	3,737	1,729–9,030	54	25	2.17	80.1
2048	projection	3,753	1,720–9,340	54	26	2.16	80.2
2049	projection	3,785	1,663–9,715	54	26	2.15	80.4
2050	projection	3,810	1,652–10,173	54	27	2.14	80.5
2051	projection	3,833	1,612–10,414	54	27	2.13	80.6
2052	projection	3,850	1,563–10,917	54	27	2.11	80.8
2053	projection	3,885	1,548–11,130	54	28	2.10	80.9
2054	projection	3,912	1,522–11,326	54	28	2.09	81.0
2055	projection	3,934	1,516–11,922	55	29	2.08	81.2
2056	projection	3,962	1,486–12,701	55	29	2.07	81.3
2057	projection	3,985	1,449–13,365	55	29	2.06	81.4
2058	projection	4,002	1,424–13,943	56	29	2.05	81.5
2059	projection	4,037	1,428–14,405	56	30	2.05	81.7
2060	projection	4,066	1,442–14,953	56	30	2.04	81.8
2061	projection	4,087	1,404–15,427	56	30	2.03	81.9
2062	projection	4,104	1,400–15,786	56	31	2.02	82.1
2063	projection	4,130	1,405–16,186	56	31	2.02	82.2
2064	projection	4,150	1,403–16,683	55	31	2.01	82.3
2065	projection	4,172	1,392–17,291	55	32	2.00	82.5
2066	projection	4,193	1,394–17,745	54	32	2.00	82.6
2067	projection	4,227	1,393–18,303	54	33	1.99	82.7
2068	projection	4,243	1,396–18,082	54	33	1.98	82.8
2069	projection	4,269	1,370–18,876	53	34	1.97	83.0
2070	projection	4,292	1,350–19,211	52	35	1.96	83.1
2071	projection	4,313	1,321–19,287	52	35	1.96	83.2
2072	projection	4,334	1,311–19,843	52	36	1.95	83.3
2073	projection	4,353	1,320–20,152	51	37	1.94	83.4
2074	projection	4,371	1,306–20,550	51	38	1.94	83.5
2075	projection	4,379	1,280–20,856	50	39	1.93	83.7
2076	projection	4,386	1,280–21,305	49	39	1.92	83.8
2077	projection	4,397	1,298–21,609	49	40	1.92	83.9
2078	projection	4,400	1,312–22,314	49	41	1.91	84.0
2079	projection	4,406	1,336–22,690	48	42	1.90	84.2
2080	projection	4,414	1,352–22,518	48	43	1.90	84.3
2081	projection	4,421	1,350–22,900	48	44	1.89	84.4
2082	projection	4,422	1,336–23,102	48	44	1.89	84.5
2083	projection	4,416	1,328–23,986	47	45	1.89	84.6
2084	projection	4,413	1,275–24,496	47	46	1.88	84.7
2085	projection	4,420	1,282–25,406	47	46	1.88	84.8
2086	projection	4,420	1,288–25,436	47	47	1.87	84.9
2087	projection	4,414	1,280–26,130	47	48	1.87	85.0
2088	projection	4,414	1,277–25,907	47	48	1.86	85.2
2089	projection	4,418	1,284–25,964	47	49	1.86	85.3
2090	projection	4,420	1,292–26,394	47	49	1.85	85.4
2091	projection	4,415	1,258–26,275	47	49	1.85	85.5
2092	projection	4,409	1,245–26,922	47	49	1.84	85.6
2093	projection	4,409	1,273–27,206	46	49	1.84	85.7
2094	projection	4,403	1,216–27,516	46	49	1.84	85.8
2095	projection	4,392	1,175–28,033	46	49	1.83	85.9
2096	projection	4,394	1,206–29,093	46	49	1.83	86.0
2097	projection	4,392	1,210–29,112	46	49	1.82	86.2
2098	projection	4,382	1,184–29,555	45	49	1.82	86.3
2099	projection	4,384	1,201–30,252	45	49	1.82	86.4
2100	projection	4,373	1,190–30,263	44	48	1.82	86.5

Show the numbers: Tokelau, mid-2026, by single year of age

Tokelau: population by single year of age, mid-2026
Age	Male	Female
0	28	28
1	28	26
2	26	26
3	26	25
4	24	24
5	24	23
6	22	22
7	20	22
8	20	23
9	20	22
10	18	22
11	18	24
12	20	22
13	21	20
14	22	21
15	24	21
16	27	22
17	30	22
18	31	22
19	30	22
20	27	20
21	24	20
22	22	24
23	20	26
24	20	26
25	22	25
26	24	24
27	26	25
28	27	24
29	26	26
30	26	25
31	24	22
32	23	22
33	22	22
34	21	20
35	20	18
36	18	18
37	14	18
38	14	18
39	16	19
40	18	16
41	15	14
42	14	15
43	15	17
44	16	18
45	14	18
46	12	17
47	13	15
48	12	13
49	14	10
50	14	8
51	11	9
52	10	8
53	10	7
54	10	8
55	13	11
56	15	12
57	13	14
58	12	13
59	12	16
60	11	18
61	10	18
62	7	17
63	6	15
64	7	14
65	10	12
66	12	12
67	11	12
68	10	10
69	10	7
70	8	3
71	5	2
72	7	1
73	7	4
74	5	7
75	3	6
76	1	6
77	0	7
78	0	7
79	2	4
80	2	2
81	1	3
82	2	3
83	3	2
84	2	3
85	2	4
86	1	4
87	0	2
88	0	2
89	1	1
90	0	0
91	0	0
92	0	0
93	0	0
94	0	0
95	0	0
96	0	0
97	0	0
98	0	0
99	0	0
100+	0	0

TKL · 1950–2100 · every age, every year

Tokelau, every age in every year

Each column is a year and each row an age; the denser the ink in a cell, the more people. Everyone born in the same year climbs one 45° diagonal, so famines, baby booms and migration show up as streaks. Select a cell to follow its generation.

TKL · ages 15–64

Who does the work in Tokelau

On the UN's projection, Tokelau will have the most working-age people it ever has in 2085: 2,650 people aged 15–64. In 2023 it had 1,567.

100 aged 15–64

41 children

12 aged 65+

aged 15–64 children under 15 aged 65 and over

How to read this: take 100 people of working age — the orange row — and the two rows under it are the children (teal) and the people of 65 and over (violet) who lived alongside them in 2023.

At no point between 1950 and 2100 do fewer than 50 dependants live alongside every 100 people aged 15–64 here.

fewer than 50 dependants per 100 the same, projected 50 or more

How to read this: one stripe a year from 1950 to 2100. A stripe takes colour in a year when fewer than 50 dependants live alongside every 100 people of working age, and stays grey otherwise; hatching means the year is projected.

How every country compares

TKL · arrivals minus departures

Who arrives in Tokelau, and who leaves

In 2020–2025 Tokelau gains 59 people a year: everyone who arrives, minus everyone who leaves. The age at which that happens most is 20–24, at 11 a year more arriving than leaving.

one square = 1 person a year

020406080+

more arrive than leave more leave than arrive

How to read this: age runs left to right, babies to 100. A blue square above the line means arrivals outnumber departures at that age, an orange square below it means the opposite. The figures are the UN's projection for 2020–2025; nobody recorded migration by age before 2020.

Across the counted years, 1950 to 2023, its biggest single-year gain was 118 (2017); its biggest loss, 98 (1969).

How migration works everywhere

TKL · births by the mother's age · 1950–2100

Who has the babies in Tokelau

Of every 100 babies born in Tokelau in 2023, 11 had a mother under 20, 72 a mother aged 20 to 34 and 17 a mother aged 35 or older. In 1950 it was 16 under 20 and 13 aged 35 or older.

1950
16 · 71 · 13

2023
11 · 72 · 17

2050 · projected
11 · 67 · 22

The mother's age: under 20 20 to 34 35 or older projected

How to read this: one block a year, 100 squares in each, a square for every hundredth baby. The colour is the mother's age group, and the three numbers underneath are those groups in order, youngest first.

Babies born, 2023: 47
Average age when women have a baby: 29.3 years; 29.5 in 1950
Babies a year per 1,000 girls aged 15–19: 54; 109 in 1950

Babies by the mother's age, 1950–2100

Babies born in Tokelau by the mother's age
Mother's age	1950	1975	2000	2023	2050 projected	2100 projected
10–14	0	0	0	0	0	0
15–19	9	7	6	5	6	1
20–24	14	10	9	10	9	5
25–29	14	13	12	12	13	11
30–34	13	10	10	12	15	15
35–39	4	6	6	6	9	10
40–44	2	3	3	2	2	2
45–49	1	0	1	0	0	0
50–54	0	0	0	0	0	0
All babies	57	49	47	47	54	44

The UN's births for each year, split by the mother's age in the UN's own proportions.

TKL · forced from home · end of 2025

Displacement in Tokelau

UNHCR publishes no refugees, asylum-seekers or displaced people in or from Tokelau at the end of 2025.

An empty row is not the same as a zero. These figures cover the people one agency works with, so a country it has no operation in has nothing to report here.

How the world's displacement is counted

TKL · of every 100 people

How people live in Tokelau

Of every 100 people in Tokelau in 2025, 100 lived in the countryside.

rural areas

How to read this: everyone here, shrunk to 100 squares, with the colour saying whether that hundredth person lives in a city, a town or the countryside. Every country is measured by the same rule.

How the world's people live

TKL · cities · 2025

Cities in Tokelau

No place in Tokelau is big and dense enough to count as a city under the UN's rule — at least 50,000 people, living 1,500 or more to the square kilometre.

All the world's cities

Apparatus

Sources and method

Every figure on this page comes from the UN's World Population Prospects 2024: the annual country tables (estimates to 2023, projections with 95% intervals from 2024), and the population by single year of age and sex for the pyramid.

The censuses, surveys and registers behind the UN's estimates for Tokelau are listed, source by source, on the UN's own data sources page.

Sources: UN WPP 2024 · World Bank · UNHCR · country code lists · UN WUP 2025 · Wittgenstein Centre · WHO GHO · flag-icons · Natural Earth. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →

Checked before it was drawn

Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries The pyramid for every year was checked against the published total. What that stamp counts, and what every page here has to pass before it can be built: how this site checks its figures.