Topics
Compare · UN World Population Prospects 2024
Ethiopia and 
Kenya, side by side
In 2026, half of the people in Ethiopia are older than 20. In Kenya, half are older than 21.
UN estimates for mid-2023: Ethiopia 128,691,692 people · Kenya 55,339,002
How to read this: each pyramid stacks a place’s people by age — babies at the bottom, the oldest at the top, men on the left and women on the right. A wide bottom means many children; a wide top means many older people.
Each bar is a share of its own place’s people, so a small country and a large one can be read side by side.
men women projected
ETH × KEN · 2026 · age groups
If each place were 100 people
Shrink each population to 100 people and count them. Dots are children under 15, filled squares are people aged 15 to 64, and open squares are people 65 and over. The picture follows the year slider above.
- Children, under 15
- 39
- Aged 15 to 64
- 58
- Aged 65 and over
- 3
- Children, under 15
- 36
- Aged 15 to 64
- 61
- Aged 65 and over
- 3
ETH × KEN · families and lifetimes
Children, and how long lives last
Ethiopia is at about 3.7 children for each woman, at this year's rates; Kenya is at about 3.1. Babies born this year can expect about 68 years of life in Ethiopia and about 64 in Kenya.
Children per woman, 2026
Each figure is one child: how many children a woman would have in her lifetime at that year’s rates.
The dashed line at 2.1 is about what it takes for each generation to replace the one before it, leaving migration aside.
How long a newborn can expect to live, 2026
Each block is ten years of life, if the death rates of that year stayed the same all life long.
Hatched marks are UN projections (medium variant), not measurements.
ETH × KEN · 1950–2100 · how many
How big, and where they are heading
Ethiopia has about twice as many people as Kenya: 139 million against 58.6 million.
Set each against its own 1950 self and Ethiopia's population is 7.9 times what it was in 1950, Kenya's population is 10.2 times what it was in 1950.
Ethiopia's population is still growing in 2100. Meanwhile Kenya's population is expected to peak in 2098. In 2100: 367 million in Ethiopia, 104 million in Kenya (UN projection, medium).
Show the numbers
| Year | Ethiopia: people | Kenya: people | Ethiopia: half older than | Kenya: half older than | Ethiopia: children per woman | Kenya: children per woman | Ethiopia: life expectancy | Kenya: life expectancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 17.6704 million | 5.76918 million | 18.0 | 17.0 | 6.43 | 7.39 | 35.5 | 36.9 |
| 1960 | 21.3767 million | 7.69531 million | 18.5 | 15.6 | 6.51 | 7.65 | 39.6 | 48.5 |
| 1970 | 27.8291 million | 11.3688 million | 18.0 | 14.3 | 6.78 | 7.94 | 42.1 | 54.1 |
| 1980 | 34.4285 million | 16.0185 million | 16.7 | 14.4 | 7.29 | 7.53 | 42.8 | 59.2 |
| 1990 | 47.6097 million | 22.8926 million | 16.8 | 15.3 | 7.20 | 6.13 | 45.1 | 58.3 |
| 2000 | 67.4115 million | 30.6429 million | 16.1 | 16.6 | 6.65 | 5.14 | 50.9 | 56.1 |
| 2010 | 90.5385 million | 41.5986 million | 16.8 | 17.9 | 5.28 | 4.45 | 59.7 | 60.9 |
| 2023 | 128.692 million | 55.3390 million | 19.7 | 20.5 | 3.99 | 3.21 | 67.3 | 63.6 |
| 2030* | 152.855 million | 63.1022 million | 21.2 | 22.4 | 3.43 | 2.92 | 69.2 | 64.9 |
| 2040* | 188.451 million | 74.1089 million | 23.1 | 25.0 | 2.90 | 2.61 | 71.4 | 66.5 |
| 2050* | 225.022 million | 83.5932 million | 25.6 | 27.3 | 2.55 | 2.35 | 73.3 | 67.9 |
| 2060* | 260.708 million | 91.5696 million | 28.2 | 29.8 | 2.32 | 2.18 | 75.1 | 69.2 |
| 2070* | 293.791 million | 97.8257 million | 30.6 | 32.4 | 2.15 | 2.04 | 76.9 | 70.4 |
| 2080* | 323.239 million | 101.744 million | 33.1 | 34.7 | 2.03 | 1.95 | 78.5 | 71.7 |
| 2090* | 347.651 million | 103.764 million | 35.4 | 36.6 | 1.94 | 1.89 | 80.1 | 73.0 |
| 2100* | 367.290 million | 104.195 million | 37.6 | 38.5 | 1.88 | 1.84 | 81.6 | 74.4 |
* UN projection, medium variant. People at mid-year; ages and life expectancy in years.
ETH − KEN · 1950–2100 · every age
Which ages each place has more of
Each column is a year and each row an age, from babies at the bottom to 100 at the top. The shade of a cell shows which place has more of its people at that age — the key beside the picture tells you which shade is Ethiopia and which is Kenya, and the in-between shade means the same. Because it compares shares, a small place and a large one can be compared fairly.
236 countries · 1950–2100
Where they sit among all countries
Every country in the world, every year from 1950 to 2100. The grey cloud shows where most countries are; Ethiopia is drawn in solid blue squares and Kenya in open orange squares, so you can see whether each is ahead of the crowd, behind it or in the middle.
More comparisons
Keep exploring
Each place on its own: Ethiopia · Kenya. Or pick any two places with the boxes at the top of this page.
Other comparisons
- Bangladesh and Ethiopia
- Brazil and Ethiopia
- Democratic Republic of the Congo and Ethiopia
- Egypt and Ethiopia
- Ethiopia and Mexico
- Ethiopia and Nigeria
- Ethiopia and Russia
- Angola and Kenya
- France and Kenya
- Germany and Kenya
- Italy and Kenya
- Kenya and South Africa
- Kenya and Sudan
- Kenya and Tanzania
- Kenya and Thailand
- Kenya and Uganda
- Kenya and United Kingdom
- Kenya and Vietnam
- Ethiopia and Eastern Africa
- Kenya and Eastern Africa
Apparatus
Sources and method
Every figure for Ethiopia and Kenya is the United Nations Population Division's, from World Population Prospects 2024: counted to 2023, and the medium projection for each year after that. Both places are taken from the same release and the same tables, which is what makes them comparable at all.
How the median age and the “100 people” pictures are worked out, and why the pictures of every country leave the regions out: how the figures here are put together.
This is one of 250 pairs with a page. The boxes at the top will take any other two places you want to see side by side.
Sources: UN WPP 2024 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →
Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries