Topics
Compare · UN World Population Prospects 2024
Italy and 
Kenya, side by side
Italy in 2026: half the people are older than 50. Kenya: half are older than 21.
UN estimates for mid-2023: Italy 59,499,453 people · Kenya 55,339,002
How to read this: each pyramid stacks a place’s people by age — babies at the bottom, the oldest at the top, men on the left and women on the right. A wide bottom means many children; a wide top means many older people.
Each bar is a share of its own place’s people, so a small country and a large one can be read side by side.
men women projected
ITA × KEN · 2026 · age groups
If each place were 100 people
Shrink each population to 100 people and count them. Dots are children under 15, filled squares are people aged 15 to 64, and open squares are people 65 and over. The picture follows the year slider above.
- Children, under 15
- 11
- Aged 15 to 64
- 63
- Aged 65 and over
- 26
- Children, under 15
- 36
- Aged 15 to 64
- 61
- Aged 65 and over
- 3
ITA × KEN · families and lifetimes
Children, and how long lives last
If the birth rates of this year held for a whole lifetime, a woman in Italy would have about 1.2 children and a woman in Kenya about 3.1. Around 2.1 children per woman keeps a population the same size over time, leaving migration aside. Babies born this year can expect about 84 years of life in Italy and about 64 in Kenya.
Children per woman, 2026
Each figure is one child: how many children a woman would have in her lifetime at that year’s rates.
The dashed line at 2.1 is about what it takes for each generation to replace the one before it, leaving migration aside.
How long a newborn can expect to live, 2026
Each block is ten years of life, if the death rates of that year stayed the same all life long.
Hatched marks are UN projections (medium variant), not measurements.
ITA × KEN · 1950–2100 · how many
How big, and where they are heading
Italy has about as many people as Kenya: 58.9 million against 58.6 million.
Italy's population is 1.3 times what it was in 1950; Kenya's population is 10.2 times what it was in 1950.
Italy's population peaked in 2014; Kenya's population is expected to peak in 2098. The UN expects Kenya to have more people than Italy from 2027. In 2100: 35.4 million in Italy, 104 million in Kenya (UN projection, medium).
Show the numbers
| Year | Italy: people | Kenya: people | Italy: half older than | Kenya: half older than | Italy: children per woman | Kenya: children per woman | Italy: life expectancy | Kenya: life expectancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 46.3917 million | 5.76918 million | 28.5 | 17.0 | 2.52 | 7.39 | 65.7 | 36.9 |
| 1960 | 49.5146 million | 7.69531 million | 31.5 | 15.6 | 2.38 | 7.65 | 69.2 | 48.5 |
| 1970 | 53.3902 million | 11.3688 million | 32.9 | 14.3 | 2.40 | 7.94 | 71.6 | 54.1 |
| 1980 | 56.4121 million | 16.0185 million | 34.0 | 14.4 | 1.65 | 7.53 | 74.0 | 59.2 |
| 1990 | 57.0314 million | 22.8926 million | 37.1 | 15.3 | 1.33 | 6.13 | 77.0 | 58.3 |
| 2000 | 57.2722 million | 30.6429 million | 40.3 | 16.6 | 1.25 | 5.14 | 79.6 | 56.1 |
| 2010 | 60.1642 million | 41.5986 million | 43.5 | 17.9 | 1.44 | 4.45 | 82.1 | 60.9 |
| 2023 | 59.4995 million | 55.3390 million | 48.5 | 20.5 | 1.20 | 3.21 | 83.7 | 63.6 |
| 2030* | 57.9461 million | 63.1022 million | 51.0 | 22.4 | 1.25 | 2.92 | 84.7 | 64.9 |
| 2040* | 55.2212 million | 74.1089 million | 53.0 | 25.0 | 1.30 | 2.61 | 86.0 | 66.5 |
| 2050* | 51.8911 million | 83.5932 million | 53.9 | 27.3 | 1.35 | 2.35 | 87.2 | 67.9 |
| 2060* | 47.5845 million | 91.5696 million | 54.0 | 29.8 | 1.39 | 2.18 | 88.4 | 69.2 |
| 2070* | 43.3533 million | 97.8257 million | 54.4 | 32.4 | 1.42 | 2.04 | 89.5 | 70.4 |
| 2080* | 40.2259 million | 101.744 million | 54.0 | 34.7 | 1.43 | 1.95 | 90.6 | 71.7 |
| 2090* | 37.7486 million | 103.764 million | 53.9 | 36.6 | 1.46 | 1.89 | 91.7 | 73.0 |
| 2100* | 35.3768 million | 104.195 million | 54.4 | 38.5 | 1.48 | 1.84 | 92.8 | 74.4 |
* UN projection, medium variant. People at mid-year; ages and life expectancy in years.
ITA − KEN · 1950–2100 · every age
Which ages each place has more of
Each column is a year and each row an age, from babies at the bottom to 100 at the top. The shade of a cell shows which place has more of its people at that age — the key beside the picture tells you which shade is Italy and which is Kenya, and the in-between shade means the same. Because it compares shares, a small place and a large one can be compared fairly.
236 countries · 1950–2100
Where they sit among all countries
Every country in the world, every year from 1950 to 2100. The grey cloud shows where most countries are; Italy is drawn in solid blue squares and Kenya in open orange squares, so you can see whether each is ahead of the crowd, behind it or in the middle.
More comparisons
Keep exploring
Each place on its own: Italy · Kenya. Or pick any two places with the boxes at the top of this page.
Other comparisons
- Algeria and Italy
- Argentina and Italy
- Canada and Italy
- Colombia and Italy
- Italy and Japan
- Italy and Myanmar
- Italy and Niger
- Italy and Spain
- Italy and Sudan
- Italy and Uganda
- Angola and Kenya
- Ethiopia and Kenya
- France and Kenya
- Germany and Kenya
- Kenya and South Africa
- Kenya and Sudan
- Kenya and Tanzania
- Kenya and Thailand
- Kenya and Uganda
- Kenya and United Kingdom
- Kenya and Vietnam
- Italy and Southern Europe
- Kenya and Eastern Africa
Apparatus
Sources and method
Every figure for Italy and Kenya is the United Nations Population Division's, from World Population Prospects 2024: counted to 2023, and the medium projection for each year after that. Both places are taken from the same release and the same tables, which is what makes them comparable at all.
The working behind the median age, the rounding in the “100 people” pictures and the reason the regions are kept out of the all-country views are all set out in the method.
250 comparisons have a page of their own; any other two places can be compared from the boxes at the top.
Sources: UN WPP 2024 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →
Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries