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Compare · UN World Population Prospects 2024
Poland and
Ukraine, side by side
Line both places up by age in 2026. In Poland, half are older than 44; in Ukraine, half are older than 43.
UN estimates for mid-2023: Poland 38,762,844 people · Ukraine 37,732,836
How to read this: each pyramid stacks a place’s people by age — babies at the bottom, the oldest at the top, men on the left and women on the right. A wide bottom means many children; a wide top means many older people.
Each bar is a share of its own place’s people, so a small country and a large one can be read side by side.
men women projected
POL × UKR · 2026 · age groups
If each place were 100 people
Shrink each population to 100 people and count them. Dots are children under 15, filled squares are people aged 15 to 64, and open squares are people 65 and over. The picture follows the year slider above.
- Children, under 15
- 14
- Aged 15 to 64
- 65
- Aged 65 and over
- 21
- Children, under 15
- 13
- Aged 15 to 64
- 68
- Aged 65 and over
- 19
POL × UKR · families and lifetimes
Children, and how long lives last
At today's rates, a woman in Poland would have about 1.3 children in her lifetime. In Ukraine, about 1.0. Life expectancy at birth this year: about 79 years in Poland, about 75 in Ukraine.
Children per woman, 2026
Each figure is one child: how many children a woman would have in her lifetime at that year’s rates.
The dashed line at 2.1 is about what it takes for each generation to replace the one before it, leaving migration aside.
How long a newborn can expect to live, 2026
Each block is ten years of life, if the death rates of that year stayed the same all life long.
Hatched marks are UN projections (medium variant), not measurements.
POL × UKR · 1950–2100 · how many
How big, and where they are heading
Ukraine has about as many people as Poland: 39.5 million against 37.8 million.
Poland's population is 1.5 times what it was in 1950; Ukraine's population is 1.1 times what it was in 1950.
Poland's population peaked in 2023. Meanwhile Ukraine's population peaked in 1993. The UN expects Poland to have more people than Ukraine from 2042. In 2100: 19.3 million in Poland, 15.2 million in Ukraine (UN projection, medium).
Show the numbers
| Year | Poland: people | Ukraine: people | Poland: half older than | Ukraine: half older than | Poland: children per woman | Ukraine: children per woman | Poland: life expectancy | Ukraine: life expectancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 24.7802 million | 37.3109 million | 25.8 | 27.4 | 3.65 | 2.45 | 58.3 | 61.2 |
| 1960 | 29.5760 million | 42.8241 million | 26.6 | 29.3 | 3.00 | 2.29 | 67.1 | 69.4 |
| 1970 | 32.5426 million | 47.2613 million | 28.3 | 32.3 | 2.25 | 2.08 | 69.6 | 70.8 |
| 1980 | 35.5765 million | 49.9552 million | 29.5 | 33.5 | 2.28 | 1.95 | 70.5 | 69.8 |
| 1990 | 38.0555 million | 52.0541 million | 32.4 | 34.2 | 2.06 | 1.84 | 70.6 | 70.3 |
| 2000 | 38.2581 million | 49.5567 million | 35.3 | 37.3 | 1.37 | 1.11 | 73.7 | 67.8 |
| 2010 | 38.0954 million | 46.4560 million | 37.9 | 39.6 | 1.41 | 1.44 | 76.3 | 70.2 |
| 2023 | 38.7628 million | 37.7328 million | 42.3 | 43.0 | 1.30 | 0.98 | 78.6 | 73.4 |
| 2030* | 37.1985 million | 38.3539 million | 46.0 | 44.7 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 79.8 | 75.7 |
| 2040* | 35.1795 million | 35.2709 million | 50.3 | 49.2 | 1.37 | 1.09 | 81.5 | 77.2 |
| 2050* | 32.8141 million | 31.9901 million | 52.8 | 52.1 | 1.40 | 1.14 | 83.0 | 78.8 |
| 2060* | 30.1392 million | 28.3113 million | 53.5 | 54.2 | 1.42 | 1.18 | 84.4 | 80.3 |
| 2070* | 27.1036 million | 24.5942 million | 55.4 | 57.2 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 85.6 | 81.7 |
| 2080* | 24.0377 million | 21.0759 million | 56.2 | 59.3 | 1.46 | 1.25 | 86.8 | 83.1 |
| 2090* | 21.4526 million | 17.9089 million | 55.5 | 58.7 | 1.47 | 1.27 | 87.9 | 84.4 |
| 2100* | 19.3298 million | 15.1974 million | 56.3 | 58.9 | 1.49 | 1.30 | 89.0 | 85.6 |
* UN projection, medium variant. People at mid-year; ages and life expectancy in years.
POL − UKR · 1950–2100 · every age
Which ages each place has more of
Each column is a year and each row an age, from babies at the bottom to 100 at the top. The shade of a cell shows which place has more of its people at that age — the key beside the picture tells you which shade is Poland and which is Ukraine, and the in-between shade means the same. Because it compares shares, a small place and a large one can be compared fairly.
236 countries · 1950–2100
Where they sit among all countries
Every country in the world, every year from 1950 to 2100. The grey cloud shows where most countries are; Poland is drawn in solid blue squares and Ukraine in open orange squares, so you can see whether each is ahead of the crowd, behind it or in the middle.
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Keep exploring
Each place on its own: Poland · Ukraine. Or pick any two places with the boxes at the top of this page.
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Apparatus
Sources and method
Every figure for Poland and Ukraine is the United Nations Population Division's, from World Population Prospects 2024: counted to 2023, and the medium projection for each year after that. Both places are taken from the same release and the same tables, which is what makes them comparable at all.
For how the median age is derived, why “100 people” can read a person high or low, and what the all-country pictures do and do not count, see the method.
250 comparisons have a page of their own; any other two places can be compared from the boxes at the top.
Sources: UN WPP 2024 · flag-icons. Every source, its licence and how to cite it →
Verified 2026-09-30 · 73 canaries